备战巨量到期资金，“固收+”策略成新宠

Core Viewpoint - A significant competition for over 30 trillion yuan in maturing deposits has begun, with "fixed income +" becoming a favored choice for bank wealth management products as investors seek low-volatility and stable returns [2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Since the end of September 2024, despite a temporary recovery in equity markets and strong performance in assets like gold, investors continue to prefer low-volatility wealth management products [2]. - The estimated maturing deposits in 2026 include approximately 20.7 trillion yuan from two-year deposits, 9.6 trillion yuan from three-year deposits, and 2.0 trillion yuan from five-year deposits, totaling around 32 trillion yuan [4]. - Major financial institutions are eager to capture this wealth, with bank wealth management and insurance products being key contenders [5]. Group 2: Product Trends - In 2024, the top 14 wealth management companies saw nearly 4 trillion yuan growth in low-volatility, shorter-duration open-ended products, with a further increase of over 3 trillion yuan in the first 11 months of 2025, accounting for nearly 90% of the overall growth in wealth management scale [5]. - The "fixed income +" strategy has emerged as a crucial choice for investors aiming for stable growth in a low-interest-rate environment [8]. - As of September 30, 2025, the growth rate of "fixed income +" funds (including first and second-tier bond funds and bond-mixed funds) reached 39.5%, while pure bond funds experienced a decline of 10% [8]. Group 3: Asset Allocation - With the stock market showing steady growth in 2025, the risk-return profile of equity assets has significantly improved, with the Sharpe ratio rising from 0.21 in 2024 to nearly 1 [6]. - The demand for 10-year government bonds has shifted from trading desks to banks, which are now the primary players in pricing, contributing to a stabilization effect in the market [8]. - Analysts predict that wealth management companies will further expand their offerings of products with equity components, while maintaining a solid base of low-volatility products [9].