公募基金能否接下这50万亿？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant inflow of funds into public offerings, particularly focusing on "fixed income +" and Fund of Funds (FOF) products, as a response to the upcoming maturity of a large volume of fixed deposits, estimated to be between 30 trillion to 60 trillion yuan by 2026, with an average forecast of around 50 trillion yuan [4]. Group 1: Performance of Multi-Asset Products - The "fixed income +" and FOF products have shown impressive performance, with the total management scale of public FOF funds reaching 238.3 billion yuan by the end of 2025, marking a historical high with an annual growth of 100 billion yuan [5]. - The "fixed income +" funds reached a scale of 2.53 trillion yuan, growing over 700 billion yuan within the year, indicating a strong market demand for these products [5][20]. - Notable performances include the "fixed income +" fund from China Universal, which achieved a return of 37% in 2025, and the FOF fund from Guotai, which returned 66.14% [6][17]. Group 2: Trends in Public Fund Products - There are two prominent trends in public fund products: the toolization of products, particularly ETFs, and the multi-asset allocation strategy that aims for stable performance across different market conditions [9][10]. - The toolization trend is evident in both equity and bond products, with a significant increase in bond ETFs, which have surpassed 700 billion yuan [9]. - The multi-asset allocation strategy seeks to balance investments between stocks and bonds based on market conditions, enhancing the potential for stable returns [10][12]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The growth of multi-asset products is expected to continue, driven by the increasing acceptance of "fixed income +" and FOF products among retail and institutional investors [22]. - The public fund industry is witnessing a shift towards more systematic and quantitative asset allocation strategies, moving away from reliance on subjective judgment [24][27]. - The competitive landscape is changing, with companies like China Universal and Invesco Great Wall rapidly expanding their multi-asset offerings, indicating a potential shift in market leadership [38][41].