非银存款同比少减2.84万亿元,券商分析师解读
券商中国·2026-01-18 09:38

Core Viewpoint - The financial data for December 2025 indicates a decrease in non-bank deposits by 330 billion yuan, with a year-on-year reduction of 2.84 trillion yuan, raising market concerns about the implications for the stock market and financial institutions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Non-Bank Deposit Trends - Non-bank deposits decreased by 330 billion yuan in December, which is significantly lower than the average reduction of 532.7 billion yuan in 2022 and 2023, indicating a notable shift in market dynamics [2]. - Analysts attribute the high year-on-year reduction to a low base effect from December 2024, when non-bank deposits saw a historic drop of 3.17 trillion yuan due to regulatory changes [1][2]. - The overall non-bank deposit scale reached 34.5 trillion yuan by the end of December, accounting for 10.5% of total deposits, reflecting a slight decrease in proportion compared to previous years [2]. Group 2: Market Influences - The reduction in non-bank deposits is partly attributed to seasonal factors, such as the return of funds to deposits from off-balance-sheet products and the influence of a vibrant stock market [3][4]. - Analysts suggest that the capital market's performance, particularly the "924" market rally, has led to significant capital inflows, impacting the overall deposit landscape [3][5]. - The trend of "deposit migration" continues, but the pathways and timing of fund flows may become more complex due to varying asset return expectations and market conditions [3].