欧美关税战硝烟再起,欧盟考虑反制930亿欧元输欧商品,达沃斯谈筹码?
第一财经·2026-01-19 11:55

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the EU and the US over Greenland, highlighting the potential for increased tariffs and restrictions on American goods as a response to President Trump's actions [2][3]. Group 1: EU's Response to US Actions - The EU is considering imposing tariffs on $930 billion worth of US goods as retaliation against Trump's tariffs on eight European countries [2][3]. - The EU's proposed measures include a "carrot and stick" approach, with discussions among member states about activating a counter-coercion tool that could limit US companies' access to the EU market [3][6]. - France has called for the use of the counter-coercion tool, which has not been utilized since its passage in 2023, to impose investment restrictions on US tech companies [3][6]. Group 2: Impact on Trade Agreements - Due to the tensions surrounding Greenland, a previously agreed trade deal between the US and EU is unlikely to be ratified [4]. - European officials are looking to leverage the upcoming Davos meeting to negotiate with Trump, hoping to see if he is willing to back down before February 1 [5][6]. Group 3: Economic Implications - If the proposed 25% tariffs are implemented, US exports to affected countries could drop by up to 50%, with Germany, Sweden, and Denmark being the most impacted [11]. - The UK's and Germany's GDP could decline by approximately 0.1% due to a 10% tariff, and by 0.2% to 0.3% with a 25% tariff, while US inflation may rise by 0.1% to 0.2% [11].