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Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices have reached historical highs due to increased demand for safe-haven assets triggered by tariff threats from President Trump and other factors [5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 19, 2023, U.S. stock markets were closed for a holiday, but futures indicated a downward trend, with the Dow Jones futures down 0.83%, S&P 500 futures down 0.88%, and Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.09% [2]. - European stock indices also experienced declines, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.72%, FTSE 100 down 0.39%, CAC 40 down 1.78%, DAX 30 down 1.34%, and FTSE MIB down 1.32% [2]. Group 2: Precious Metals Prices - Spot gold prices surged by 2% to reach $4,690.88 per ounce, currently reported at $4,675.76 per ounce [6]. - Spot silver prices increased by over 5%, reaching $94.726 per ounce, currently reported at $94.479 per ounce [8]. Group 3: Economic Implications - Economists warn that if President Trump rapidly advances new tariff threats, the UK could face a recession risk, with GDP potentially declining by 0.3% to 0.75% [10]. - According to the World Bank, if tariffs are raised to 25% starting in June, the UK economy could suffer a loss of £21.6 billion [11]. - The Chief Economist at Capital Economics, Paul Dales, noted that the UK economy is currently growing at only 0.2% to 0.3% per quarter, and a sudden shock could trigger a recession [12]. Group 4: Federal Reserve Developments - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to attend a Supreme Court hearing regarding the potential dismissal of Fed Governor Cook by President Trump, marking a rare public statement of support for Cook [13]. - Powell previously indicated that the Trump administration had issued subpoenas to the Fed and threatened criminal charges, which he described as a pretext to force significant interest rate cuts [13]. - According to CME's FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95% [13].