刚刚，见证历史！又新高！

Market Overview - US stock market was closed due to a holiday, but futures showed a significant decline, with Dow Jones futures down 0.83%, S&P 500 futures down 0.88%, and Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.09% [2] - Major European indices also fell, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.72%, FTSE 100 down 0.39%, CAC 40 down 1.78%, DAX 30 down 1.34%, and FTSE MIB down 1.32% [2] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices reached historical highs, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to tariff threats from Trump [4][5] - Spot gold rose by 2% to reach $4690.88 per ounce, currently reported at $4675.76 per ounce [6] - Spot silver increased by over 5%, reaching $94.726 per ounce, currently reported at $94.479 per ounce [8] Economic Impact of Tariffs - Economists warned that if Trump quickly implements new tariff threats, the UK could face a recession risk, with GDP potentially declining by 0.3% to 0.75% [10] - The World Bank estimated that if tariffs are raised to 25% starting in June, the UK economy could suffer a loss of £21.6 billion [10] - Current UK economic growth is only 0.2% to 0.3% per quarter, and a sudden shock could trigger a recession [10] Federal Reserve Developments - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is set to attend a Supreme Court hearing regarding the potential dismissal of Fed Governor Cook by Trump, marking an unusual public statement of support for Cook [11] - Powell previously indicated that the Trump administration had issued subpoenas to the Fed and threatened criminal charges, which he described as a pretext to force significant rate cuts [11] - According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, with a 95% chance of maintaining current rates; by March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 20.7% [11]