“跳楼机”般的天气，如何影响2026经济？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the La Niña phenomenon on global weather patterns and its subsequent effects on various industries, including agriculture, energy, and consumer goods, highlighting the interconnectedness of climate events and economic conditions [3][7]. Group 1: La Niña Phenomenon - La Niña is characterized by a significant cooling of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, which can disrupt global weather patterns and has been identified as a contributing factor to recent extreme weather events in China [9][10]. - The current La Niña state, which began in October 2025, is expected to last until early 2026 but may not develop into a full event, leading to complex weather impacts such as "south drought, north flood" patterns [10][11]. Group 2: Agricultural Impact - The La Niña phenomenon is expected to disrupt food supply chains, with a notable decline in crop yields in the Southern Hemisphere, including an over 11% drop in corn production and a downward adjustment in soybean yields, which will affect global agricultural prices [10][11]. - As the largest importer of soybeans, China may face increased pork and poultry prices due to rising feed costs, leading to inflationary pressures in the meat market [10]. Group 3: Energy Sector Effects - The onset of cold weather has increased coal consumption in power generation, with a reported 12% rise in daily coal usage in October 2025, while natural gas demand is projected to grow significantly due to colder winter conditions [11][13]. - The fluctuations in energy demand and supply could lead to increased prices for electricity and heating, impacting both consumers and industries reliant on stable energy costs [11][13]. Group 4: Consumer Market Trends - The La Niña phenomenon has spurred a surge in demand for winter clothing and heating appliances, with sales of down jackets and electric heating products seeing significant year-on-year increases of 46% and over 200%, respectively [32]. - Consumer preferences are shifting towards products that offer enhanced functionality and design, with a notable rise in demand for high-tech materials and products tailored for specific winter needs [33][34]. Group 5: Climate Adaptation Strategies - China is enhancing its climate response strategies, integrating weather monitoring and emergency preparedness into macroeconomic governance, with a focus on building a climate-resilient society by 2035 [22][27]. - The shift from reactive to proactive disaster management in agriculture includes advanced techniques such as smart seedling cultivation and water-saving irrigation methods to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather [28][29].