国家发改委最新发声,释放四大重磅信号
21世纪经济报道·2026-01-20 08:25

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation of the Central Economic Work Conference's spirit, focusing on achieving a good start for the "14th Five-Year Plan" with a projected GDP of 140.19 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 5% growth compared to the previous year, which positions China among the leading global economies [1][10]. Economic Growth and Structure - By 2025, China's GDP is expected to reach 140 trillion yuan, achieving a 5% growth target, which is significant in the context of global economic performance [1]. - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the need for strategic determination and effective measures to enhance economic quality and reasonable growth [1][10]. Innovation and Industry Development - The article highlights the importance of innovation-driven development, with a focus on key technologies in artificial intelligence, biomedicine, and robotics, which are leading globally [2]. - The manufacturing sector's added value has ranked first globally for 16 consecutive years, showcasing China's robust industrial capabilities [2]. Future Economic Outlook - By 2026, the economic structure is expected to continue improving, with new production capacities and significant development potential across consumption, investment, technology, and regional dynamics [5]. - New economic growth points are emerging in sectors like renewable energy, aerospace, and quantum technology, with new energy storage capacity exceeding 100 million kilowatts, accounting for over 40% of the global total [6]. Policy Measures for Demand and Supply - The article outlines the need to address the current economic imbalance characterized by strong supply and weak demand, emphasizing the importance of expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply [10]. - Key strategies include focusing macroeconomic policies on strengthening domestic circulation and adapting to demand upgrades through innovative measures [10][11]. Price Stability and Consumer Prices - In 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to remain stable, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) is projected to decline by 2.6%, indicating a low overall price level [13]. - Recent trends show a positive shift in prices, with CPI rising by 0.8% year-on-year in December, marking a 34-month high [14]. Consumer and Investment Strategies - The government plans to implement a consumption boost initiative and a rural resident income increase plan, focusing on enhancing consumer capacity and optimizing supply [17]. - Investment strategies will emphasize both material and human capital, aiming to improve investment efficiency and promote job creation [17][18].