日本40%市场人士认为2026年最弱货币是日元

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese yen is expected to continue depreciating due to concerns over the expansionary fiscal policies of the government led by Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and the persistently low real interest rates in Japan [2][4]. Group 1: Currency Predictions - In a recent survey conducted by QUICK and Nikkei Veritas, 40% of respondents predicted the yen would be the weakest currency among eight major currencies by 2026 [2][4]. - The survey included 173 participants from Japanese financial institutions and companies, with 64 valid responses collected [4]. - The dollar was predicted to be the second weakest currency, with 36% of respondents selecting it, citing factors such as ongoing interest rate cuts and political uncertainties [4][5]. Group 2: Current Exchange Rates - As of January 14, the exchange rate for the yen against the dollar fell to approximately 159.5 yen per dollar, marking the lowest level in about a year and a half [4]. - The yen also depreciated against the euro, reaching an exchange rate of 185.5 yen per euro, the lowest since the euro's inception in 1999 [4]. Group 3: Future Currency Strength - For the strongest currency prediction, the euro ranked first, followed by the Swiss franc, while the Swiss franc was predicted to be the strongest currency in the 2025 survey [5].