美欧“贸易火箭筒”要点燃？欧盟对美930亿欧元报复性关税清单上会有什么

Core Viewpoint - The European Parliament has announced the suspension of the approval process for the trade agreement reached with the United States last July, marking the EU's first response to President Trump's recent pressure tactics [3][4]. Group 1: Trade Measures and Implications - The EU is considering imposing tariffs on US goods worth €93 billion as a countermeasure against Trump's tariffs on European countries [3][4]. - The proposed tariffs include a 25% duty on US-made aircraft, which could significantly impact Boeing, as its products account for a large portion of the €11 billion in aircraft exports from the US to Europe in 2024 [4]. - Other high-value products on the tariff list include automobiles, bourbon whiskey, and soybeans, along with iconic American products like Harley-Davidson motorcycles and Levi's jeans [4][5]. Group 2: Selection Criteria for Tariffs - The EU has carefully selected products for the tariff list, focusing on items that can be easily sourced from other regions to minimize backlash from EU consumers [5]. - The selection also targets products linked to specific US politicians and their constituencies, aiming to exert political pressure while reducing economic harm to the EU [5]. Group 3: Internal EU Dynamics - The implementation of these tariffs requires support from EU member states, with some countries advocating for the removal of certain products from the list to protect their own exports [5]. - Over €20 billion worth of products have already been removed from the initial tariff list due to internal disagreements among member states [5]. Group 4: Response to US Tariffs - The EU has agreed to impose export controls on aluminum scrap, which is crucial for US metal production [6]. - The "anti-coercion instrument" (ACI) is being discussed as a potential tool to limit access for US companies in the EU market, with Macron emphasizing the need to use strong measures in response to disrespect from the US [7]. Group 5: Economic Impact on EU - The current 15% tariffs imposed by the US have already led to a 0.3% decline in Germany's GDP, highlighting the economic repercussions of the trade conflict [8]. - Germany's exports to the US have plummeted by 9.4% due to the tariffs, significantly affecting its automotive and engineering sectors [8]. - Estimates suggest that Trump's tariffs could reduce exports from targeted countries to the US by up to 50% compared to pre-2025 levels [8][9].