“GDP万亿俱乐部”再添三城 专家倡言城市评价迈入“市值时代”

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the emergence of three new cities—Dalian, Xuzhou, and Wenzhou—joining China's "trillion-yuan club" by 2025, bringing the total number of such cities in mainland China to 30 [1][2]. Group 1: New "Trillion-Yuan Cities" - Wenzhou is set to surpass a GDP of 1 trillion yuan by 2025, becoming the third "trillion-yuan city" in Zhejiang province after Hangzhou and Ningbo [4]. - Xuzhou's GDP is projected to grow by approximately 5.8%, reaching 953.712 billion yuan in 2024, and is expected to cross the 1 trillion yuan mark in 2025, making it the sixth "trillion-yuan city" in Jiangsu province [5]. - Dalian anticipates a GDP growth of over 5.5%, with a projected GDP of 951.69 billion yuan in 2024, also expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2025, marking a breakthrough for Northeast China [5]. Group 2: Common Characteristics and Development Strategies - The three new cities share a strong industrial foundation and leading industry clusters, such as Xuzhou's renowned engineering machinery cluster, Wenzhou's private economy-driven electrical and apparel industries, and Dalian's complete petrochemical industry chain [5][6]. - Experts emphasize the importance of "industry anchoring + institutional adaptation" for the success of these cities, highlighting the need for a flexible and efficient business environment [6]. - Each city has a unique positioning strategy: Wenzhou as a pioneer of private economy, Xuzhou as a leader in the Huaihai Economic Zone, and Dalian aiming to become a Northeast Asia international shipping center [6]. Group 3: Future Prospects and Competitors - Other cities are also vying to join the "trillion-yuan club," with potential candidates like Yancheng, Yangzhou, and Shaoxing in the Yangtze River Delta region aiming for this goal during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [10]. - Xiamen is projected to become the third "trillion-yuan city" in Fujian province by 2025, with a GDP of 858.901 billion yuan in 2024 [10]. - Shenyang is expected to become the second "trillion-yuan city" in Liaoning province, with a GDP of 902.71 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a high probability of surpassing the 1 trillion yuan mark during the 14th Five-Year Plan [10]. Group 4: Urban Development Evaluation System - The article calls for a re-evaluation of urban development metrics, moving beyond mere GDP figures to include quality indicators such as per capita GDP, total factor productivity, and green innovation intensity [12]. - It suggests incorporating metrics like the Gini coefficient of resident income and the number of patents per capita into the evaluation system for "trillion-yuan cities" to promote a shift from scale expansion to modernization focused on people [12]. - The transition from a "GDP era" to a "market value era" is proposed, where the total market value of listed companies in a city serves as a precise measure of development quality [13].