13个精算师·2026-01-23 11:03Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the stability and growth of the average productivity per employee in the property insurance sector, highlighting a compound annual growth rate of 8.9% since 2016, with a projected average productivity of 3.953 million yuan per employee for 2024, indicating a stabilization in workforce numbers at approximately 423,000 employees [1][11][12]. Group 1: Employee Productivity - The total number of employees in the property insurance sector for 2024 is approximately 423,000, showing signs of stabilization compared to the previous year [11]. - The average productivity per employee for 2024 is projected to be 3.953 million yuan, which represents a 98% increase since 2016, with an annual compound growth rate of 8.9% [12]. - The average productivity for the top three companies (China Life Property, Ping An Property, and Taiping Property) is 4.468 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [3]. Group 2: Impact on Company Performance - An increase of 1% in average productivity leads to a decrease of 0.051 percentage points in the comprehensive expense ratio, ultimately improving the return on equity (ROE) by 0.017 percentage points [6][24]. - There are 7 companies with average productivity exceeding 10 million yuan, 5 companies between 5-10 million yuan, 26 companies between 3-5 million yuan, 42 companies between 1-3 million yuan, and 5 companies below 1 million yuan [6][30]. - The average productivity across 85 property insurance companies for 2024 is 4.084 million yuan, with a weighted average of 3.953 million yuan and a median of 2.851 million yuan [26]. Group 3: Empirical Analysis - The empirical model indicates a significant negative correlation between average productivity and the comprehensive expense ratio, confirming that higher productivity correlates with lower operational costs [20]. - The analysis of 640 sample points shows that average productivity significantly impacts the comprehensive expense ratio at a 1% confidence level [19]. - The relationship between average productivity and ROE is positively correlated, with a 1% increase in productivity resulting in a 0.017 percentage point increase in ROE [24][25]. Group 4: Company Rankings - The top ten property insurance companies by average productivity for 2024 include Zhonghui Mutual, Guotai Property, and Taikang Property, with Zhonghui Mutual leading at 36.724 million yuan [33]. - The rankings reveal that companies with internet attributes or self-insurance characteristics tend to have higher productivity levels [29]. - The detailed rankings of the top 30 companies are available for further analysis [32].