推动物价合理回升,多部门明确政策思路
第一财经·2026-01-25 14:39

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of price stability as a signal of economic health and a key factor in boosting confidence among microeconomic entities. It outlines the government's commitment to promoting a reasonable recovery in prices through various policy measures [3][4]. Policy Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to implement a series of measures from three aspects: total policy, structural policy, and reform policy, to promote a moderate recovery in prices [3][10]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has identified the promotion of stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery as key considerations in monetary policy, continuing to implement a moderately loose monetary policy [3][12]. Price Trends - In 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed signs of improvement, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8% in December, the highest since March 2023. The core CPI, excluding food and energy, has also been rising, maintaining a year-on-year increase of over 1% for four consecutive months [6][7]. - Structural characteristics of the CPI in 2025 included a significant impact from declining food and energy prices, with food prices down 1.5% and energy prices down 3.3%, contributing to a decrease in CPI by approximately 0.27 and 0.25 percentage points, respectively [7][8]. Economic Context - The article discusses the complex macroeconomic environment affecting price levels, including traditional growth drivers slowing down and external pressures on domestic price adjustments. These factors are viewed as temporary [6][10]. - The government aims to enhance consumer demand through coordinated fiscal and financial policies, which are expected to stabilize prices and support economic recovery [7][11]. Legislative Changes - The NDRC has proposed amendments to the Price Law, marking the first revision in 27 years, which includes provisions related to anti-competitive pricing practices and digital economy regulations. This aims to strengthen market regulation and promote fair competition [11][12]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the CPI will see a year-on-year increase of around 0.4% in 2026, indicating a continued low inflation environment. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to face downward pressure, with an anticipated cumulative year-on-year decrease of about -1.0% for the year [15].