国芯网·2026-01-26 07:03Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant price increase of server CPUs by Intel and AMD, driven by structural changes in AI computing demand and global supply chain adjustments, which may lead to a revaluation of domestic CPUs in China [2][4]. Group 1: Price Increase and Market Dynamics - Intel and AMD plan to raise server CPU prices by 10%-15% in Q1 2026, with their annual production already largely pre-sold, indicating a severe supply-demand imbalance [2][3]. - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to drive global AI server shipments to grow by over 28% year-on-year in 2026, with overall server shipments increasing by 12.8% [3]. - The supply constraints are exacerbated by high demand for advanced manufacturing processes, with Intel's production capacity reportedly overloaded at 120%-130% [4]. Group 2: Shift in CPU Role - The emergence of Agentic AI has transformed the role of CPUs from auxiliary computing units to central components responsible for complex scheduling and resource management [6]. - The new architecture allows for a shift from "compute-intensive" to "scheduling-intensive," with CPUs managing vast amounts of parameters and states previously reliant on expensive GPU memory [7]. - The number of active intelligent agents is projected to surge from tens of millions in 2025 to hundreds of billions by 2030, significantly increasing CPU demand [7]. Group 3: Domestic CPU Market Opportunities - The price increase of CPUs reflects their strategic value, particularly in the context of China's push for domestic semiconductor production [8]. - The domestic market is expected to seek alternatives due to international price hikes, creating a historic opportunity for domestic CPUs to fill market gaps [8]. - Key selection criteria for domestic CPUs include compatibility with existing X86 environments, security, and stability, especially in critical infrastructure sectors [9][10]. Group 4: Potential Domestic Players - Companies such as Haiguang Information, Loongson Technology, and China Great Wall (Feiteng) are positioned to benefit from the market overflow due to the global CPU price revaluation [10].