谨慎调仓?
第一财经·2026-01-29 10:53

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing volatility with a divergence between large-cap and small-cap stocks, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors as they prepare for the upcoming holiday season [4][7]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a slight increase of 0.16%, while the overall market saw 1,801 stocks rise and 39 stocks hit the daily limit up, contrasting with 36 stocks that hit the limit down [5][6]. - The trading volume in both markets reached 0.23 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.92% increase, suggesting heightened market activity and significant trading disputes between bulls and bears [7]. Capital Flow - There is a notable outflow of institutional funds, while retail investors are showing a net inflow, indicating a shift in investment strategies. Institutions are moving away from high-valuation growth sectors like semiconductors and new energy, while increasing positions in defensive sectors such as liquor, precious metals, and high-dividend financial blue chips [8]. - Retail investors are generally adopting a wait-and-see approach, with many choosing to hold cash during the holiday, while a small number are following trends in liquor and precious metals [8]. Investor Sentiment - The sentiment among retail investors is cautious, with 36.45% increasing their positions, 18.28% reducing them, and 36.45% remaining inactive [13]. - A significant portion of investors (45.95%) reported being in a position of profit, while 37.16% are facing losses of up to 20% [19].