我国新型能源体系建设基础持续夯实

Core Viewpoint - By 2025, China's energy supply security capacity will be significantly enhanced, with multiple important policy measures being introduced to solidify the foundation for a new energy system, promoting green energy development and high-quality investment opportunities [1]. Investment and Project Completion - National energy investment is expected to maintain rapid growth, with key project investments exceeding 3.5 trillion yuan, marking an 11% year-on-year increase, outpacing infrastructure and manufacturing growth by 12.9 and 10.1 percentage points respectively [3]. - The production of raw coal remains stable, with a 1.2% increase in industrial raw coal output. Oil and gas production will reach historical highs, with industrial crude oil output increasing by 1.5% and natural gas output by 6.2% [3]. Renewable Energy and Market Transactions - New installed capacity for wind and solar energy is projected to exceed 430 million kilowatts, with total installed capacity surpassing 1.8 billion kilowatts, accounting for over 60% of renewable energy generation capacity [3]. - Renewable energy generation is expected to reach approximately 4 trillion kilowatt-hours, exceeding the combined electricity consumption of the EU's 27 countries [3]. - The cumulative electricity trading volume in the national power market is anticipated to reach 6.64 trillion kilowatt-hours, a 7.4% increase year-on-year, with market-based transactions accounting for 64% of total electricity consumption, up 1.3 percentage points [3]. Green Electricity Trading and Certificates - Green electricity trading volume is projected to reach 328.5 billion kilowatt-hours, a 38.3% increase year-on-year, with long-term green electricity agreements totaling 60 billion kilowatt-hours [4]. - The green certificate market is expected to see significant growth, with cumulative transactions reaching 930 million certificates, a 120% increase year-on-year, and the average transaction price rising by 90% in the second half of 2025 [4]. Power Grid Development - China has established the world's largest and most complex AC/DC hybrid power grid, enhancing resource allocation capabilities with 45 ultra-high voltage transmission channels [6]. - The grid supports an annual average of 80 million kilowatts of new power load demand, ensuring reliable electricity supply equivalent to the total consumption of the US, EU, and Japan combined [6]. New Energy Storage Growth - New energy storage capacity is expected to grow by 84% by the end of 2025, reaching 136 million kilowatts/351 million kilowatt-hours, a more than 40-fold increase compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [10]. - The average storage duration is projected to increase to 2.58 hours, with significant contributions from regions like North China and Northwest China [10][11]. Future Grid Development - The future power system will exhibit high penetration of new energy, high electrification, and increased complexity, necessitating new requirements for grid development [7]. - The upcoming focus will be on constructing a coordinated development framework for main, distribution, and micro grids, enhancing the overall efficiency and reliability of the power supply [8].