第一财经·2026-02-03 14:40Core Viewpoint - The current semiconductor cycle is experiencing a price surge, initially driven by memory chips and now spreading to non-memory sectors such as power chips and analog chips, indicating a shift from structural prosperity to a comprehensive recovery in the semiconductor industry [2][4]. Group 1: Price Surge Dynamics - The price increase in memory chips is a reflection of strong demand from high-end applications like AI servers, leading to a reconfiguration of the supply-demand structure across the industry [4][6]. - Several non-memory chip manufacturers have announced price hikes, citing rising raw material costs and tight supply as reasons for the adjustments [5][6]. - Companies like 中微半导 and 国科微 have implemented significant price increases, with some products seeing hikes of up to 80%, indicating a widespread trend rather than isolated incidents [5][6]. Group 2: Impact on Non-Memory Chip Companies - Non-memory chip design companies are under pressure to pass on cost increases and achieve profit elasticity, making their performance recovery and valuation enhancement critical for market attention [3][7]. - The price surge is expected to lead to improved financial performance for power semiconductor companies, with士兰微 projecting a net profit increase of 50% to 80% for 2025 [7]. - 中微半导 anticipates a revenue growth of 23.07% and a net profit increase of 107.55% in 2025, driven by rising demand and price adjustments [8]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Investment Opportunities - The current price increase cycle is seen as a reversal of the supply-demand dynamics, with companies that have strong market shares and pricing power likely to benefit the most [8]. - Companies with products at the price bottom and greater elasticity, such as certain automotive-grade MCUs, are expected to be significant beneficiaries during this price surge [8]. - Firms closely tied to high-growth sectors like AI and renewable energy are also highlighted as key players to watch in this evolving market landscape [8].