Group 1 - The core strategy of Iran involves using one-third of its strength to retaliate against the U.S. and two-thirds to attack Israel, regardless of Israel's involvement in military actions [7] - The recent air conflict in the Arabian Sea marks the opening of a new phase in the Gulf War, characterized by asymmetric warfare, with Iranian drones costing between tens of thousands to $100,000, while U.S. F-35C jets cost $170 million [4] - The air conflict resulted in no casualties, with Iran losing one drone and the U.S. expending ammunition, indicating that the losses are within both parties' tolerable limits [4] Group 2 - Upcoming negotiations between Iran and the U.S. are expected to be intense, with Iran's main demand being the lifting of U.S. sanctions, while the U.S. seeks Iran to abandon its nuclear program and limit its military capabilities [6] - The U.S. may target Iranian leadership or military assets in the event of conflict, while Iran's strategy involves retaliating against Israel, viewing it as an extension of U.S. actions [6][7] - The complexity of the situation is heightened by the intertwining of war and negotiations, suggesting a challenging path ahead for both parties [8]
波斯湾战争一触即发,伊美将谈判
经济观察报·2026-02-04 13:12