突发！美联储重大变数！

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, which is now facing delays due to a request from all 11 Democratic members of the Senate Banking Committee to postpone the nomination process until the criminal investigation into current Chairman Jerome Powell and other Fed officials is resolved [2][3]. - The Senate Banking Committee currently consists of 11 Democrats and 13 Republicans, with one Republican, Tom Tillis, threatening to oppose Warsh's nomination until the investigation into Powell is transparently resolved, potentially leading to a tie vote in the committee [3][5]. - The U.S. Department of Justice issued a subpoena to the Federal Reserve on January 9, which could lead to criminal charges against Powell regarding his testimony about a $2.5 billion renovation project for the Fed's headquarters, which exceeded the budget by $700 million [4][5]. Group 2 - Stephen Miran, a Federal Reserve Governor, has resigned from his position as Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, ending a controversial dual role that raised concerns about the Fed's independence [7][8]. - Miran has committed to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board until his successor is confirmed, which presents an opportunity for President Trump to replace Miran with Warsh before Powell's term ends in May [8][9]. - Miran has expressed that the Federal Reserve needs to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year and has previously voted against the Fed's decisions to lower rates, advocating for larger cuts [11].