【安泰科】单晶硅片周评-需求疲软成交清淡 硅片价格承压下行（2026年2月5日）

Core Viewpoint - The silicon wafer market is experiencing downward pressure on prices due to weak downstream demand and high costs for battery manufacturers, leading to a significant reduction in procurement demand and production rates [1][2]. Price Trends - The average transaction prices for various types of silicon wafers have decreased: - N-type G10L (182183.75mm/130μm) at 1.20 CNY/piece, down 4.76% week-on-week - N-type G12R (182210mm/130μm) at 1.26 CNY/piece, down 4.55% - N-type G12 (210*210mm/130μm) at 1.45 CNY/piece, down 4.61% [1][3]. - The prices for downstream battery cells remain stable, with mainstream prices at 0.41-0.45 CNY/W and module prices at 0.71-0.75 CNY/W [1]. Market Dynamics - The market is characterized by weak demand, with terminal installation demand remaining soft and rising silver prices increasing cost pressures on battery companies, leading to a pessimistic industry sentiment and significant production cuts [1][2]. - The overall operating rate in the industry has slightly decreased, with leading companies operating at 50% and 46%, while integrated companies maintain rates between 50%-68% and other companies between 50%-70% [1]. Future Outlook - In the short term, silicon wafer demand is expected to remain weak, with a forecast of narrow fluctuations in the market due to adjustments in battery cell production and expectations of declining silicon material prices [2]. - Post-holiday, as rigid orders from downstream gradually release, the supply-demand relationship for silicon wafers is anticipated to improve, potentially providing some market support [2].