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Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant impact of supply chain issues, particularly the shortage and price increase of memory chips, on the performance and outlook of major semiconductor companies like Qualcomm and Arm, leading to substantial stock price declines for both firms [1][6][9]. Qualcomm's Performance - Qualcomm's stock fell over 12% in pre-market trading due to disappointing earnings guidance, with a current decline of 11.18% [3][4]. - For Q1 of fiscal year 2026, Qualcomm reported revenue of $12.25 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase, slightly above market expectations [6]. - Adjusted net profit was $3.781 billion, a 1% decline year-over-year, with adjusted earnings per share at $3.50, up 3% and exceeding expectations [6]. - The mobile business generated $7.82 billion in revenue, a 3% increase, while the IoT and automotive segments saw revenue growth of 9% and 15%, respectively [6]. Earnings Guidance and Market Conditions - Qualcomm's guidance for Q2 of fiscal year 2026 is between $10.2 billion and $11 billion, with adjusted earnings per share projected between $2.45 and $2.65, falling short of analyst expectations of $11.11 billion in revenue and $2.89 in earnings per share [8]. - The company attributes the weak guidance to a global shortage of memory chips and rising prices, which are affecting smartphone manufacturers' order volumes [8]. - Qualcomm's CEO noted that while demand for high-end smartphones remains strong, the industry is facing severe memory shortages, leading to reduced production plans among manufacturers [8]. Arm's Performance and Market Impact - Arm's stock also dropped over 8% in pre-market trading, reflecting concerns about the smartphone market's challenges due to memory chip shortages [1][9]. - Arm reported a 26% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.24 billion for Q3 of fiscal year 2025, slightly above analyst expectations [9]. - However, the unexpected decline in licensing revenue, a key indicator of future design adoption, triggered a sell-off [9]. Broader Industry Implications - Counterpoint Research predicts that rising DRAM prices will increase the bill of materials (BoM) costs for smartphones by approximately 25% for low-end models, 15% for mid-range, and 10% for high-end models, with potential further increases of 10% to 15% by Q2 of 2026 [10]. - To offset memory price increases, mid-range smartphone manufacturers may need to raise prices by 17%, while flagship models may require a 7% increase [10]. - The ongoing memory chip supply constraints are expected to have a prolonged impact on the smartphone industry, with manufacturers already adjusting production strategies in response to rising costs [10].