Core Viewpoint - The report from Citic Lyon emphasizes that 2026 will mark a departure from the hesitant trials of the Year of the Snake, with the Year of the Horse bringing a confident and powerful momentum to the market [5]. Market Predictions - The report provides a month-by-month forecast for the Hang Seng Index in 2026, predicting a poor start in February, followed by a series of upward movements from March to June, with the strongest performance expected in June. A significant decline is anticipated in December, before a rebound in January 2027 [5][6]. Industry Predictions - Wood Sector: Expected to be the strongest throughout the year, with a rebound anticipated towards the end of the year, benefiting agriculture and related industries [6]. - Fire Sector: Predicted to perform well, particularly in energy production and communication, but may face challenges in the last two months of the year due to excessive water influence [6]. - Earth Sector: Expected to have a moderate performance, with potential strength in construction materials like sand and cement, while real estate may struggle [6]. - Metal Sector: Forecasted to have a strong year, particularly in machinery manufacturing and construction steel, with a focus on innovation in financial products [6]. - Water Sector: Anticipated to be the weakest element, with stagnation expected in shipping and tourism, and limited growth in trade-related sectors [7]. Review of 2025 Predictions - The report reflects on the unpredictable nature of 2025, highlighting significant fluctuations in the Hang Seng Index, including unexpected declines and rebounds, aligning with earlier predictions of market behavior [8][10].
看好2026年恒生指数!中信里昂,再出风水研报
券商中国·2026-02-07 23:29