再翻一倍？特朗普豪言：我任期结束前，道指将站上10万点

Core Viewpoint - President Trump predicts that the Dow Jones Industrial Average will reach 100,000 points by January 2029, attributing the stock market's rise to his tariff policies [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The Dow Jones Index recently surpassed the 50,000 points milestone for the first time [2]. - Trump claims that the stock market's record performance is driven by the "great tariff policy" implemented during his administration [3]. - He expressed confidence that the Dow will double again before the end of his term [3]. Group 2: Economic Implications of Tariff Policies - Trump asserts that his tariff policies will benefit the U.S. economy, although economists argue that the costs of tariffs are primarily borne by American consumers and businesses, not foreign exporters [6]. - A study from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy indicates that approximately 96% of tariff costs are shouldered by Americans [6]. Group 3: Contrasting Views - Trump's optimistic predictions about the stock market significantly diverge from institutional consensus, with Wall Street analysts forecasting only about an 11% increase in the S&P 500 index for the year [12]. - Despite Trump's claims of achieving a 100% increase in the stock market, analysts remain skeptical of such projections [12].