“一块布”卡住AI供应链

Core Viewpoint - The electronic fabric industry is experiencing a price surge due to supply-demand imbalances, with significant price increases reported across various products in the supply chain [2][5]. Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - The price of electronic fabric has seen a notable increase, with prices rising from 4.15 yuan/meter at the end of September 2025 to 4.75 yuan/meter currently, reflecting a series of price hikes in October, December, and January 2026, each ranging from 0.15 to 0.25 yuan/meter [2][5]. - Major companies in the electronic fabric sector, such as Honghe Technology and International Composites, have reported significant stock price increases, with several reaching historical highs [3][4]. Group 2: Company Performance and Projections - Honghe Technology expects a net profit of 193 million to 226 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 745% to 889% [4]. - International Composites anticipates a turnaround with a projected net profit of 260 million to 350 million yuan for 2025, indicating a return to profitability [4]. Group 3: Demand Drivers and Competitive Landscape - The rapid growth in AI demand is driving an increase in the market demand for electronic-grade glass fiber fabric, leading to both production and sales growth [5]. - The supply of LowCTE electronic fabric is constrained, with major supplier Nitto Denko holding over 90% of the global market share, and new production capacity not expected until 2027, which will only increase supply by 20% [5][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the current price increase in electronic fabric will continue, with expectations of a new price increase cycle starting in 2026 due to ongoing supply constraints and recovering demand [6]. - The high-end electronic fabric market, particularly for LowDK and LCTE products, is expected to remain tight, further driving price increases and benefiting domestic manufacturers [6].