黄金直线跳水，美元油价急升，美联储降息概率有变

Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, exceeding the forecast of 65,000 and the previous value of 50,000 [1] - The unemployment rate in the U.S. fell to 4.3%, the lowest since August 2025, compared to the forecast and previous value of 4.4% [1] - The December non-farm payrolls were revised to an increase of 48,000, and November was revised to an increase of 41,000 [1] Group 2 - The annual benchmark revision showed a downward adjustment of 862,000 jobs, compared to the forecast decrease of 825,000 [1] - Following the employment data release, traders reduced bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut, with full pricing now indicating a cut in July instead of June [1] - A Reuters survey indicated that among 101 economists, 60 expect a 25 basis point rate cut to the 3.25%-3.50% range by the end of June [1] Group 3 - The U.S. stock index futures rose after the data release, with Nasdaq futures up 0.35%, S&P 500 futures up 0.31%, and Dow futures up 0.24% [1] - The U.S. Treasury yields increased, with the 10-year yield rising by 4 basis points to 4.192% [1] - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) initially surged by 50 points before quickly retreating [1]