深夜，集体拉升！美联储，重磅突发！

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant increase in U.S. non-farm employment in January, which has led to a shift in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, with a focus now on inflation trends rather than rate cuts [1][7]. Employment Data - The U.S. non-farm employment increased by 130,000 in January, significantly surpassing the expected increase of 70,000 and the previous month's increase of 50,000 [2][3]. - The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, lower than the expected 4.4% and marking the lowest level since August 2025 [3][9]. Market Reactions - Following the employment data release, U.S. stock index futures rose, with the Dow Jones futures up by 0.51%, S&P 500 futures by 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures by 0.88% [3]. - The U.S. dollar index saw a sharp increase, rising by 0.43% before narrowing its gains, while U.S. Treasury yields also increased, with the 2-year yield at 3.535%, the 10-year yield at 4.2%, and the 30-year yield at 4.83% [5]. Federal Reserve Expectations - Traders have adjusted their expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, moving the anticipated cut from June to July, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in March dropping from 19.6% to 6% [1][9]. - The market is currently pricing in a total rate cut of 50 basis points for 2026, down from 60 basis points prior to the employment data release [7]. Labor Market Insights - The report indicates that sectors such as healthcare, social services, and construction saw job increases, while federal government and financial sectors experienced job losses [7]. - Specifically, the healthcare sector added over 123,000 jobs, manufacturing added 5,000 jobs, and private education added approximately 13,000 jobs, while the federal government reduced its workforce by 34,000 [7]. Analyst Perspectives - Analysts view the employment report as largely positive, with better wage and hours data being crucial for sustaining consumer spending [8]. - There are indications of tightening in the labor market, but analysts believe there is still a way to go before it fully stabilizes [8].