Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant downturn, with major indices collectively closing lower after an initial rise. The Nasdaq index saw a drop of nearly 1%, while the Russell 2000 index fell over 1%. Software stocks were particularly hard hit, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) declining by 2.55%, and notable companies like ServiceNow and Salesforce dropping over 5% and 4% respectively. Concerns about the impact of AI on the software industry are intensifying, potentially affecting valuation multiples [2][3]. Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market faced severe sell-offs, with Bitcoin briefly falling below $66,000, experiencing a drop of over 4% before narrowing to a 1.74% decline. Ethereum and SOL also saw declines exceeding 3%. In the last 24 hours, approximately 144,691 individuals were liquidated, totaling $458 million in liquidations [2]. Asset Management Trends - Amundi, Europe's largest asset management firm with €2.8 trillion (approximately ¥23 trillion) in assets, announced plans to reduce exposure to U.S. dollar assets and shift focus towards European and emerging markets. CEO Valerie Baudson indicated that if U.S. economic policies do not change, the dollar is likely to weaken further [3][4]. Investment Diversification - Amundi has been advocating for investment diversification over the past 12 to 15 months, suggesting clients reduce their dollar asset holdings. This strategy is in response to the perceived over-investment in dollar assets and the associated risks [5]. International Market Shifts - There is a notable shift in capital flows towards international markets, with investors moving funds into international stock ETFs, which saw a net inflow of $51.6 billion in January. This trend is attributed to high valuations in the U.S. stock market, a weakening dollar, and emerging opportunities in overseas markets [6]. Economic Forecasts - Amundi predicts that the U.S. real GDP growth will significantly slow to 1.6% by 2026, down from nearly 3% in 2023-2024. This slowdown is driven by structural factors such as dwindling private demand, diminishing marginal utility of fiscal stimulus, and policy uncertainties [7]. Dollar Asset Dynamics - The dual advantages of dollar assets—growth and yield—are diminishing. The correlation between the dollar and U.S. equities and bonds is reversing, with the dollar no longer acting as a stabilizer but rather amplifying volatility. Concerns over U.S. fiscal sustainability are leading to a new dynamic where the dollar moves in tandem with risk assets [8][9]. Institutional Responses - Other large asset management firms, including PIMCO and Wellington Management, are echoing Amundi's call to reduce U.S. asset exposure. PIMCO highlighted the unpredictability of U.S. policies as a reason for this shift, while Wellington Management is diversifying into currencies like the euro and Australian dollar [9][10].
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天天基金网·2026-02-12 00:54