第一财经·2026-02-12 23:22Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in the U.S. stock market, driven by concerns over the impact of artificial intelligence on the software industry and office space demand, leading to a reassessment of the Federal Reserve's interest rate path [3]. Market Performance - Major U.S. indices fell sharply, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 669.42 points (1.34%) to 49,451.98, the S&P 500 down 108.71 points (1.57%) to 6,832.76, and the Nasdaq Composite down 469.32 points (2.03%) to 22,597.15 [3]. - Tech giants faced significant pressure, with Apple dropping 5% (largest single-day decline since April 2025), Meta down 2.82%, Amazon down 2.20%, and Tesla down 2.62% [6][7]. Commercial Real Estate Concerns - The sell-off focused on commercial real estate and related financial services, with fears that increased AI usage could structurally weaken demand for office space, impacting leasing and valuation [10]. - Major commercial real estate service companies saw significant stock declines, with CBRE down 8.8%, JLL down 7.6%, and Colliers down 11.5% [10]. - Analysts noted that the discussion around AI reducing office demand has been ongoing, but recent sell-offs in brokerage sectors have intensified fears regarding commercial real estate risks [10]. Transportation and Logistics Sector - The transportation and logistics sector also faced declines, with the Dow Jones Transportation Average dropping over 4%, marking its worst day since April of the previous year [11]. - Key logistics companies like Landstar System and C.H. Robinson saw declines of 15.6% and 14.5%, respectively, due to concerns over AI potentially reducing labor demand in the logistics industry [12]. Economic Data and Federal Reserve Outlook - Recent labor market data showed a smaller-than-expected drop in initial jobless claims, leading to fluctuating market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [12]. - The market is currently pricing in a cumulative rate cut of 59 basis points by the end of the year, up from 54 basis points earlier in the day [12]. Commodity Market Trends - International oil prices fell significantly, with WTI crude down $1.79 to $62.84 per barrel (2.77% decline) and Brent crude down $1.88 to $67.52 per barrel (2.71% decline) [15]. - Precious metals also faced pressure, with spot gold down 3.26% to $4,918.36 per ounce and silver down 10.89% to $75.0942 per ounce [15].