VC为何不投矿

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the stark contrast between the booming secondary market for non-ferrous metals and the lack of investment in the primary market, particularly in mining, highlighting the structural disconnect between venture capital (VC) and mining investments [3][4][17]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a remarkable increase, with the Shenwan Nonferrous Index rising by 94.73% in 2025, outperforming other sectors like telecommunications and electronics [3]. - In Hong Kong, copper-related stocks surged by 261%, with major companies like Zijin Mining reaching a market capitalization of over 1 trillion yuan and Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price nearly tripling [3]. - Despite a significant drop in early 2026, the non-ferrous metals sector continued to lead all market segments [3]. Group 2: Investment Discrepancies - There is a notable absence of VC investments in mining, with significant funding directed towards sectors like semiconductors (1,419 deals, 185 billion yuan) and AI, while mining received little attention [3][6]. - The article emphasizes that the disconnect is not due to a lack of interest but rather the inherent differences in investment timelines, valuation language, and exit strategies between VC and mining [6][7]. Group 3: Structural Constraints - VC funds typically have a lifespan of 7 to 10 years, while mining projects can take 5 to 8 years to develop, creating a mismatch in investment horizons [6]. - The language of valuation in VC focuses on metrics like GMV and user growth, which are not applicable to mining, where the focus is on resource reserves and extraction costs [6][7]. - The exit strategy for mining investments is complicated by the fact that significant profits are realized post-production, while secondary markets allow for easier liquidity [6][7]. Group 4: Alternative Investment Models - Some investors are exploring innovative ways to engage with the mining sector, such as investing in technologies that enhance mining efficiency rather than directly in mining rights [9][10]. - Companies like KoBold Metals are using AI to improve mineral discovery efficiency, attracting VC interest due to their scalable technology model [9]. - Major mining companies are also establishing their own investment arms to focus on strategic technologies rather than relying on external VC funding [10]. Group 5: Future Opportunities - The article suggests that there is potential for creating structures that allow VC to participate in mining cycles, such as longer-term funds or financial instruments that mitigate risks [15][16]. - Collaborative projects between mining companies and VCs, where VCs provide technology and mining firms offer resources, could bridge the gap between the two investment worlds [16]. - The ongoing tightening of supply and advancements in technology may present new opportunities for investment in the mining sector, challenging the current status quo [17].