TI 的2025：原厂正在复苏，现货市场呢？

Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments (TI) is experiencing a recovery in its financial performance for 2025, with a 13% year-over-year revenue growth, although the demand in the spot market remains subdued despite the positive earnings report [3][5][15]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, TI reported revenue of $4.423 billion, a 10% increase year-over-year but a 7% decrease quarter-over-quarter, slightly below market expectations [4]. - For the full year 2025, TI's revenue reached $17.682 billion, up 13% from $15.6 billion in 2024, marking a recovery from a decline of approximately 11% in 2024 [5][7]. - The first quarter of 2025 marked a significant turning point, with revenue growth of 11.1% year-over-year, indicating the end of a two-year decline [7]. Group 2: Market Segmentation - TI's revenue structure for 2025 shows that the industrial and automotive markets each contributed 33% to total revenue, while personal electronics accounted for 21%, data centers for 9%, and communication equipment for 3% [7][9]. - The data center market emerged as the fastest-growing segment, with a 64% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $1.5 billion [10]. Group 3: Inventory and Margins - TI's inventory levels increased to $4.8 billion by the end of Q4 2025, with inventory turnover days rising to 222 days, indicating a strategic approach to inventory management [10]. - The gross margin for TI has been under pressure, dropping to 58.1% in 2024, with estimates for 2025 suggesting a slight decline to around 57% [11][12]. Group 4: Spot Market Dynamics - The spot market for TI's products experienced fluctuations throughout 2025, influenced by tariff conflicts and price increase rumors, but overall demand remained weak [17][20]. - Despite some temporary spikes in demand due to market fears, the actual transaction volume did not significantly increase, indicating a cautious market environment [21][22]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The ongoing transition towards direct sales and the rise of domestic alternatives are expected to impact TI's market presence, raising questions about the sustainability of its recovery [23][24].