蛇年收官

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on the last trading day before the Spring Festival, with major indices showing a shrinking adjustment and structural differentiation, primarily influenced by weak performances in financial and real estate sectors [5]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index failed to maintain the integer mark, with the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also adjusting, the latter experiencing the largest decline due to adjustments in technology growth stocks and consumer electronics [5]. - A total of 1,537 stocks rose while 3,824 stocks fell, indicating a significant structural differentiation in market performance [6]. Trading Volume - The total trading volume across both markets was approximately 1 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 7.43%, indicative of a "pre-holiday shrinking" trend. The Shenzhen market's trading volume was significantly higher than that of the Shanghai market, suggesting a preference for technology growth stocks [8]. Capital Flow - There was a net outflow of institutional funds, while retail investors showed net inflows. Institutions demonstrated a defensive reallocation of assets, focusing on sectors such as semiconductors, consumer electronics, and shipbuilding (military) [9][10]. - Retail participation was notably active in certain hot sectors like military and semiconductor equipment, although overall participation remained cautious [10]. Investor Sentiment - Retail investor sentiment was reported at 75.85%, with 30.43% of investors increasing their positions, 15.13% reducing their positions, and 54.44% remaining unchanged [11][14]. - The average position held by investors was 68.93%, with 50.75% fully invested and 10.05% in cash [17]. Profitability Status - Among investors, 6.46% reported profits exceeding 50%, while 5.63% had profits between 20% and 50%. Conversely, 37.25% were facing losses of less than 20% [19].