比特币，或“腰斩”至31000美元

Core Viewpoint - The largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, is facing potential further declines, with predictions suggesting it could drop to $31,000 if the current bear market evolves into a full-blown winter [2][4]. Group 1: Current Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading near $69,000, having fallen approximately 45% from its peak of $126,199 last October [2]. - If Bitcoin were to decline to $31,000, it would represent an additional drop of about 55% from current levels [2]. - Historical analysis indicates that previous Bitcoin winters have seen average declines of 70% to 75% from peak to trough [4]. Group 2: Historical Context - The average decline during past Bitcoin winters since 2011 has been 84% [5]. - The average duration of these winters is around 225 days, while the current downturn has lasted only 129 days [6]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Predictions - There is a growing bearish sentiment in the market, with Standard Chartered's digital asset research head predicting Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 or lower if selling pressure continues [9]. - Zacks Investment Research's chief strategist speculates that Bitcoin might drop to $40,000, given that previous crypto winters have lasted over a year [10]. - Stifel has forecasted that the current decline could push Bitcoin's price down to around $38,000 [11].