逆势“扫货”！南向资金为何“勇闯”港股？后市关注三大因素

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly technology stocks, has been experiencing a price correction, yet southbound funds have been actively buying, with a notable net purchase of 17.893 billion yuan on the last trading day before the holiday, indicating strong investor confidence despite market adjustments [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance and Investor Behavior - Southbound funds have shown resilience, with a cumulative net purchase amount of 136.151 billion yuan year-to-date, nearly matching the same period last year [4]. - On February 5, southbound funds recorded a single-day net purchase of 22.206 billion yuan, the highest for the year, with several days of net purchases exceeding 10 billion yuan [5]. - Despite the Hang Seng Index closing lower at 26,567.12 points, southbound funds continued to buy, reflecting a contrarian investment strategy [4]. Group 2: Reasons for Market Weakness - Analysts attribute the weak performance of the Hong Kong stock market to liquidity shocks, particularly influenced by the nomination of a hawkish Federal Reserve chair, which has raised concerns about tightening global liquidity [2][7]. - There is a divergence in investor sentiment regarding AI capital expenditures, with concerns that increased spending may negatively impact cash flow and investment returns for major tech companies [8]. - The overall fundamentals of the Hong Kong market are perceived to be weaker than those of the A-share market, although the structural advantages of Hong Kong stocks remain [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts believe that the fundamentals supporting the Hong Kong technology sector have not changed, and the current price discount relative to A-shares is near historical highs, suggesting a potential rebound [2][9]. - The Hong Kong technology index is characterized by a combination of oversold valuations, contrarian buying, and positive AI fundamentals, indicating a favorable risk-reward ratio for medium to long-term strategic allocation [9]. - The market adjustment is viewed as a short-term emotional disturbance rather than a fundamental trend reversal, with expectations for a gradual recovery as sentiment stabilizes and leading companies resume buybacks [9].