这场战争还会持续多久？

Core Viewpoint - Violence is not the best way to resolve international disputes or civilizational conflicts, as it often leads to mutual destruction or backlash against the stronger party [1][11]. Group 1: Current Conflict Overview - The recent escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict began with the assassination of Iranian leader Khamenei, leading to open warfare between the US-Israel coalition and Iran [4]. - As of March 2, the US-Israel coalition reported the killing of 48 Iranian commanders and the sinking of 9 Iranian warships, while Iran claimed to have attacked 27 US military bases and targeted the USS Lincoln aircraft carrier [5]. - Iran has announced the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, with reports of an unauthorized oil tanker being attacked, highlighting the strategic importance of this shipping route [5]. Group 2: Future Developments and Negotiation Prospects - There are two main questions regarding the future of the conflict: the duration of the war and the possibility of negotiations to cease hostilities [6]. - Initial statements from US President Trump suggested the bombing campaign would last a week, but later comments indicated it could extend to four weeks or less [7]. - Experts believe the conflict will last longer than previous short wars, such as the "12-day war" [8]. - There are signals indicating a potential for negotiations, including Trump's acknowledgment of Iran's interest in talks and the fact that Iran has not attacked US bases in Oman, which were previously used for indirect negotiations [9]. Group 3: Conclusion on the Conflict - Regardless of the duration of the conflict, it is anticipated that all parties will eventually return to the negotiation table [12].