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Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of fluctuating oil prices on the financial markets, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions in the Middle East [1]. Group 1: Oil Price Movements - International oil prices experienced a sharp decline after initially surging over 30%, with WTI crude oil futures narrowing their daily gains to 7% [2]. - Brent crude oil prices fell to below $110 per barrel, while WTI crude oil was reported at $97.68 per barrel after peaking near $120 [6]. Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The G7 is set to discuss the possibility of a coordinated release of emergency oil reserves to address rising oil prices due to escalating tensions in the Middle East [6]. - Japan has indicated readiness to release its strategic oil reserves, marking a significant move in response to the current situation [6][7]. Group 3: Supply Chain Disruptions - The Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy transport route, has been nearly stagnant for seven consecutive days, with only one vessel related to Iran departing the Persian Gulf [3]. - The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has announced control over the Strait, effectively banning vessels from the U.S., Israel, and European nations from passing through [3]. Group 4: Market Reactions and Predictions - Analysts warn that if the closure of the Strait of Hormuz persists, oil prices could surge to $150 per barrel or higher, leading to a cascading effect on the global economy [4]. - Morgan Stanley predicts that a 10% increase in oil prices could raise the core inflation indicator in the U.S. by 0.1 percentage points and reduce GDP growth by 0.2 percentage points [5].