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Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the dramatic fluctuations in international oil prices due to geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Iran, and the potential responses from major economies to stabilize the market [3][6]. Group 1: Oil Price Movements - On Monday, international oil prices experienced extreme volatility, with WTI crude oil initially surging by 30% to nearly $120 per barrel before retreating to around $80, entering a technical bear market [3][6]. - The surge was driven by ongoing conflicts in Iran and production cuts from major oil-producing countries, leading to fears of supply shortages [9][10]. Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - U.S. President Trump stated that the war is nearly over, which contributed to the rapid decline in oil prices after the initial spike [5][6]. - The G7 finance ministers discussed potential measures, including the release of strategic oil reserves, to support global energy supply amid rising prices [7][8]. Group 3: Strategic Oil Reserves - The International Energy Agency (IEA) is considering releasing 25% to 30% of its total reserves, approximately 300 to 400 million barrels, marking the largest release since its establishment [7][8]. - Historical context shows that the IEA has conducted five such releases since 1974, with the most significant occurring in April 2022 following the Russian invasion of Ukraine [7]. Group 4: Market Reactions and Predictions - The oil market is reacting to fears of long-term supply disruptions, particularly due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production cuts from countries like Kuwait, Iraq, and Qatar [9][10]. - Analysts warn that if the Strait remains closed for an extended period, oil prices could exceed $130 per barrel, despite potential strategic reserve releases [12][13].