特朗普，重大警告！美国防部曝出大动作！

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Defense is developing a "final strike" military option against Iran, which may include ground troops and large-scale airstrikes [1][5] - President Trump warned Iran to take the peace agreement seriously or face severe consequences, indicating a potential escalation in military actions if negotiations fail [4][5] - The situation has led to a significant increase in oil prices, with Brent crude rising over 40% since February 28, reaching $101.6 per barrel [2][8] Group 2 - Traders have increased bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, with the probability of a rate increase exceeding 50% for the year [2][8] - Economic analysts warn that the ongoing conflict and rising oil prices could lead to a significant economic impact, potentially reducing growth by up to 2% and increasing inflation [8][9] - The U.S. government is assessing the economic implications of extreme scenarios, such as oil prices reaching $200 per barrel, although officials deny specifically predicting this outcome [10]