Core Viewpoint - Google's new algorithm, TurboQuant, has raised concerns about its impact on memory chip demand, leading to significant stock price fluctuations in the memory chip sector [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On Thursday, major memory chip stocks experienced a sharp decline, with SanDisk dropping over 11%, Micron Technology nearly 7%, and SK Hynix over 6%, resulting in a total market value loss exceeding $90 billion for major memory manufacturers [3][4]. - Conversely, on Friday, memory chip stocks rebounded, with SanDisk rising over 2% and Micron Technology up 0.50%, despite the previous day's sell-off [2][3]. Group 2: Algorithm Impact - TurboQuant, which utilizes PolarQuant and QJL technologies, claims to compress KV Cache memory usage by at least six times while achieving up to eight times performance improvement on H100 GPU accelerators [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the algorithm primarily affects the inference stage's key-value cache and does not impact high-bandwidth memory (HBM) used for model weights, indicating that overall memory demand remains robust [5][6]. Group 3: Analyst Perspectives - Morgan Stanley noted that the market may have misinterpreted the algorithm's implications, emphasizing that the efficiency gains do not equate to a reduction in total storage demand but rather enhance throughput per GPU [5][6]. - Analysts from Lynx Equity Strategies and Wells Fargo echoed similar sentiments, asserting that the algorithm does not fundamentally alter the overall scale of hardware procurement and may actually lower service costs, facilitating broader AI deployment [6][7]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The memory chip supply is expected to remain tight until 2030, with significant investments in data centers projected, amounting to approximately $650 billion this year from major players like Amazon and Google [6][7]. - The anticipated growth in server DRAM demand by 39% and HBM demand by 58% by 2026 suggests that the TurboQuant optimization effects may be overshadowed by industry growth trends [6][7].
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天天基金网·2026-03-28 01:53