美军夺岛，美伊谈判才会有“实质性”进展

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the U.S. military's operation to seize islands has three steps: troop assembly, target locking, and execution of operations, with the first step not yet completed [1][4] - As of March 28, the first troop from Japan has arrived in the Middle East, while a second troop from the U.S. is still en route, and the 82nd Airborne Division has received orders but has not yet mobilized [4] - The total number of U.S. troops deployed around Iran may reach 17,000, indicating a significant military buildup [4] Group 2 - The second step, target locking, remains uncertain, with experts noting that even Trump has not clearly defined which islands to seize, whether it be the oil-exporting base of Khark Island or islands near the Strait of Hormuz [4] - The third step, execution of operations, poses significant challenges for the U.S. military, particularly in navigating the narrow Strait of Hormuz and establishing air and naval superiority around the targeted islands [5] - The risks associated with the operation are high, as U.S. forces would be concentrated and vulnerable to Iranian missile attacks, raising questions about the sustainability of holding any captured islands [5] Group 3 - Despite large-scale protests in the U.S. and Israel against military action, it is believed that these protests will not deter Trump's intentions to strike Iran and attempt to seize relevant islands [5][6] - Current conditions suggest that the operation to seize islands is likely to occur, but the timing remains uncertain [6]