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Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Jan 2026)
247Wallst· 2026-01-13 13:10
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) is viewed positively by bullish supporters who believe it can navigate global trade challenges and is positioned as a leading artificial intelligence (AI) stock for the future [1] Group 1 - The company has strong backing from investors who are optimistic about its resilience against global trade issues [1] - There is a belief among supporters that Super Micro Computer Inc. may emerge as one of the top AI stocks moving forward [1]
Orsted shares jump after US judge allows Revolution Wind project to restart
Invezz· 2026-01-13 10:14
Core Viewpoint - Shares in Danish offshore wind developer Orsted increased by over 5% following a US federal judge's decision to allow the company to continue work on its nearly completed Revolution Wind project, marking a significant legal victory for the firm [1] Company Summary - Orsted is a Danish offshore wind developer that has seen a notable rise in its stock price due to favorable legal developments regarding its Revolution Wind project [1] Industry Summary - The offshore wind industry is experiencing positive momentum as legal challenges are resolved, enabling companies like Orsted to advance their projects and potentially enhance their market position [1]
SMCI Plunges 45% in 3 Months: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 15:36
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have decreased by 44.9% over the past three months, significantly underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which appreciated by 25.4% and 4.5% respectively [1][8] - The current forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for SMCI is 14.03, which is below the industry average of 20.86, indicating that the stock may be undervalued [4] - SMCI is targeting AI-led growth with a revenue goal of $36 billion, focusing on high-margin server products and Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) [8][19] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, SMCI's revenues and earnings fell by 15.5% and 56% respectively, attributed to a revenue shift due to last-minute customer configuration upgrades [13] - The company reported negative free cash flow of $950 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, exacerbated by higher receivables from new deals with larger customers [10][12] - SMCI's gross margins have been contracting for nine consecutive quarters, driven by competitive pricing strategies and increased manufacturing costs [9] Operational Challenges - SMCI is facing inventory accumulation, with first-quarter fiscal 2026 closing inventory rising to $5.7 billion from $4.7 billion in the previous quarter, leading to an increase in the cash conversion cycle from 96 days to 123 days [12] - The company is experiencing working capital issues due to the operational scale-up needed to meet unprecedented AI rack demand, planning to roll out 6,000 racks per month [11] Growth Opportunities - SMCI's high-performance servers are gaining traction in AI data centers and partnerships with vendors like NVIDIA and AMD are enhancing its market position [15] - The DCBBS solution is expected to achieve over 20% margins and become a significant long-term profit contributor [16] - SMCI is expanding into Client, Edge, and Consumer AI markets, unveiling a broad AI portfolio to compete with established players like HP, Dell, and Lenovo [17][18]
Super Micro Computer: Commoditization Continues (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-10 13:45
Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes providing actionable and clear investment ideas through independent research, aiming to help members outperform the S&P 500 and avoid significant losses during market volatility [1] Group 1 - The service offers at least one in-depth article per week focused on investment ideas [1] - Members have reportedly achieved better performance than the S&P 500 while mitigating risks associated with extreme market fluctuations in both equity and bond markets [1]
SMCI to Enter Client, Edge and Consumer AI Markets: What's Next?
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 15:51
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is positioned to achieve $36 billion in revenues by fiscal 2026, reflecting a significant 64% year-over-year growth driven by its rack-scale compute architecture for AI applications [1] Group 1: Product Offerings and Market Position - The company is leveraging its expertise in AI-optimized servers and energy-efficient designs to provide compact solutions for PCs, edge AI, and embedded applications, unveiling a comprehensive AI portfolio [2] - SMCI's Super AI Station, featuring the NVIDIA GB300 Grace Blackwell Ultra Desktop superchip, offers five times the AI PFLOPS computing power compared to traditional PCs, enhancing memory coherence, reducing latency, and improving data security for on-prem AI development [3] - The Supermicro SYS-542T-2R targets agentic AI and media workloads, while AMD-powered AI PCs facilitate local AI applications in office environments [4] - SMCI aims to disrupt the AI PC market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of 19.1% and reach $91.2 billion by 2030 [5] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Competitors Dell Technologies and HP Inc. have already entered the AI PC market, holding market shares of 13.3% and 19.8% respectively in the global PC market [6] - HP's range of AI-based computing devices and Dell's AI-capable workstations are expected to drive their top-line growth, posing a challenge to SMCI's market entry [7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - SMCI shares have decreased by 40.6% over the past six months, contrasting with a 72.7% appreciation in the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.44X, significantly lower than the industry's average of 1.94X, indicating potential undervaluation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 2.43%, with a more optimistic 41.78% growth projected for fiscal 2027 [15]
Super Micro’s Rubin Rally: Is the AI Server Comeback Real?
Investing· 2026-01-08 20:44
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer is experiencing a turnaround, moving from survival concerns to operational execution, driven by a strengthened relationship with NVIDIA and expanded manufacturing capacity [2][18]. Business Update - Shares of Super Micro rallied approximately 5% on January 5, stabilizing in the $30 to $31 range, indicating a positive shift in investor sentiment [1]. - The company has expanded its manufacturing capacity to support NVIDIA's Vera Rubin and Rubin AI platforms, signaling a healthy partnership with a key player in the AI chip market [2]. Compliance and Governance - Super Micro regained full compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements in February 2025, stabilizing its corporate governance after an investigation found no evidence of management fraud [4]. - The appointment of BDO USA as the independent auditor further enhances governance stability [4]. Financial Position - Super Micro secured a new $2 billion revolving credit facility in late December 2025, providing essential liquidity to support its capital-intensive business model [5][9]. - The company currently has the capacity to ship over 2,000 liquid-cooled racks per month, which is crucial for meeting demand [10]. Technology and Competitive Advantage - Super Micro has invested in Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) technology, positioning itself ahead of competitors in managing the heat generated by next-generation AI chips [7][8]. - The company's Building Block architecture allows for quicker integration of new components, maintaining a strong partnership with NVIDIA [11]. Revenue and Profitability - For Q1 FY2026, Super Micro reported revenue of approximately $5 billion, which was below Wall Street's expectations of $6.5 billion [12]. - Management projects revenue for Q2 FY2026 to jump to between $10 billion and $11 billion, indicating a potential doubling of revenue in a single quarter [13]. - Gross margins have recently dipped to approximately 9.3%, down from the historical range of 15-17%, primarily due to a price war with Dell Technologies [14][15]. Strategic Focus - Super Micro is adopting a volume strategy, sacrificing short-term profit margins to secure long-term contracts with major clients, betting on customer retention once liquid-cooled racks are installed [16]. - The company is positioned to generate over $10 billion in quarterly revenue, with the governance crisis and liquidity issues resolved [18].
A Look Into Super Micro Computer Inc's Price Over Earnings - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Benzinga· 2026-01-08 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer Inc. is experiencing a decline in stock price, prompting long-term shareholders to evaluate the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The current trading price of Super Micro Computer Inc. is $29.91, reflecting a 0.35% decrease [1]. - Over the past month, the stock has decreased by 12.10%, and over the past year, it has fallen by 8.27% [1]. Group 2: P/E Ratio Analysis - The P/E ratio is a critical metric for long-term shareholders to assess market performance relative to historical earnings and industry standards [4]. - Super Micro Computer Inc. has a P/E ratio of 23.63, which is lower than the industry average P/E ratio of 35.62 in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector [5]. - A lower P/E ratio may suggest that shareholders expect the stock to underperform compared to industry peers or that the stock is undervalued [5]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - While the P/E ratio is a useful tool for evaluating market performance, it should be interpreted cautiously as it may indicate either undervaluation or weak growth prospects [8]. - Investors should consider the P/E ratio alongside other financial metrics, industry trends, and qualitative factors for a comprehensive analysis of a company's financial health [8].
Super Micro Computer: Locked And Loaded, But Forgotten (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-08 10:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the expertise of James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience in analyzing global markets, and his leadership role in The Pragmatic Investor, which focuses on building diversified investment portfolios [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The Pragmatic Investor aims to preserve and increase wealth through robust portfolio construction [1] - The investment group covers various sectors including global macro, international equities, commodities, technology, and cryptocurrencies [1] Group 2: Features and Offerings - The Pragmatic Investor provides a portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investors [1]
Super Micro Computer: Locked And Loaded, But Forgotten (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-08 10:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the expertise of James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience in analyzing global markets, and his leadership role in The Pragmatic Investor, which focuses on building diversified investment portfolios [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The Pragmatic Investor aims to guide investors of all levels in their investment journey, covering various sectors including global macro, international equities, commodities, technology, and cryptocurrencies [1] Group 2: Features and Offerings - The Pragmatic Investor provides several features such as a dedicated portfolio, weekly market update newsletters, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor interaction [1]
Why Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Outpaced the Stock Market Today
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 23:46
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with a recent trading day showing a gain of 1.55%, but a prior loss of 14.98% compared to the technology sector and S&P 500 performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - The upcoming earnings release is projected to show earnings per share (EPS) of $0.48, a decrease of 21.31% year-over-year, while revenue is expected to reach $10.43 billion, reflecting an 83.76% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2]. - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $2.14 per share and revenue at $36.46 billion, indicating increases of 3.88% and 65.94% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Estimates and Revisions - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating confidence in business performance [4]. - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses these estimate changes, currently ranks Super Micro Computer at 3 (Hold), with a consensus EPS projection that has decreased by 1.06% in the past 30 days [6]. Valuation Metrics - Super Micro Computer is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 14.03, which is below the industry average of 17.9, and has a PEG ratio of 0.5 compared to the industry average of 1.87 [7]. Industry Context - The Computer-Storage Devices industry, part of the broader Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 17, placing it in the top 7% of over 250 industries, indicating strong performance potential [8].