Research and Development Center 轮胎行业专题报告（2025 年 6 月）： 橡胶等原料价格继续下降，赛轮发布液体黄金轮胎时尚系列新品 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 7 月 4 日 [Table_Industry] 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Tabl 行业e_ReportType] 专题报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 轮胎行业 [Table_A 张燕生 uthor化工] 行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500517050001 联系电话：+86 010-83326847 邮 箱：zhangyansheng@cindasc.com 洪英东 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500520080002 联系电话：+86 010-83326848 邮 箱： hongyingdong@cindasc.com 尹柳 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524090001 联系电话：+86010-83326712 邮箱：yinliu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号 ...

封面新闻记者 伍雪梅 北京摄影报道 7月4日，四川省宜宾市2025京津冀投资推介会暨项目合作协议签署仪式在北京举行，吸引了政府机构、科研院所、头部企业、金融资本等领域的200余名 相关负责人、嘉宾代表参加。 宜宾市2025京津冀投资推介会暨项目合作协议签署仪式在北京举行。 嘉宾观看宜宾城市宣传片。 活动期间，宜宾共签约项目122个，签约总金额达403.08亿元，涵盖基金机构、数字经济、新型储能、动力电池、智能网联新能源汽车、低空经济等领 域。签约项目主要集中在基金机构、数字经济、新型储能、智能网联新能源汽车、动力电池、光伏、低空经济产业等方面，主要包括鼎晖投资、弘毅投 资、大连金慧、同方科技、追觅生态链企业等，精准延链补链强链，赋能产业协同融合发展新生态。 活动中，机器人成为主持人。 事实上，今年以来，宜宾这座"产业之城""机遇之城""共赢之城"投资推介动作频频，从年初产业投资基金群、应用场景机会清单的发布，到奔赴长三角开 展投资推介，再到此次"上京"，宜宾积极推进着高能级的产业链、创新链、资本链、人才链融合。 宜宾市经济合作和新兴产业局相关负责人介绍，以2025上海投资推介会成果转化为例，截至目前，已成功转 ...

Core Insights - Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) achieved stronger-than-expected margin performance in Q1 2025, reporting an adjusted EBIT margin of 6.1%, which is an increase of 30 basis points year-over-year and significantly above the guidance of a decline of 50-90 basis points [1] - The gross margin improved by 30 basis points to 43.8%, supported by a 20-basis-point increase in merchandise margin and a 10-basis-point reduction in freight expenses [2] - For 2025, Burlington maintains its outlook of 6-8% sales growth and an adjusted EBIT margin flat to up 30 basis points, assuming stable tariffs, inflation, and freight costs [4] Financial Performance - Adjusted SG&A expenses decreased by 30 basis points due to the timing of SOAR program expenses and company-wide cost-saving actions [3] - Reserve inventory rose by 31% in dollar terms, now representing 48% of total inventory, which is expected to support future margins [3] - Product sourcing costs increased by 10 basis points as a percentage of sales to $197 million from $183 million, reflecting higher asset protection investments [2] Comparative Analysis - Target Corporation (TGT) increased its operating margin to 6.2% from 5.3%, while its gross margin slipped to 28.2% due to higher markdowns and supply-chain costs [5] - Ross Stores (ROST) maintained an operating margin of 12.2%, with SG&A expenses rising slightly to $797.1 million [6] - Dollar Tree (DLTR) saw its gross margin rise to 35.6%, but its operating margin contracted to 8.3% due to elevated costs [7] Valuation and Estimates - Burlington's stock has gained 9% over the past three months, compared to the industry's growth of 8.8% [8] - The forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio for BURL is 1.31X, lower than the industry average of 1.80X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Burlington's current fiscal-year sales implies a year-over-year growth of 7.5% [12]

Core Insights - LiveOne, Inc. (LVO) has formed a strategic partnership with Synervoz Communications, Inc. to enhance voice-enabled experiences in devices and operating systems [1][10] - The collaboration is expected to unlock over 70 Business-to-Business (B2B) opportunities across various industries, including automotive and retail [2][10] - LiveOne aims to transform audience engagement with audio through innovations such as voice search and collaborative podcast streaming [3][4] Company Developments - LiveOne is focusing on expanding its B2B partnerships, having secured significant agreements, including a partnership with Amazon valued at over $16.5 million and another with a Fortune 50 company worth more than $25 million [5] - The company is operating at nearly a $50 million annual run rate from five newly launched B2B partnerships and is preparing for a major collaboration expected to bring in nearly 10 times the number of subscribers compared to its Tesla partnership, scheduled for August 2025 [6][10] - In February 2025, LiveOne partnered with Telly to provide a dual-screen audio and entertainment experience, allowing users to enjoy music or podcasts on a secondary display [7] Market Performance - LVO currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and has seen its shares decline by 34% over the past year, contrasting with the Zacks Audio Video Production industry's growth of 42.4% [8]

Core Insights - Ericsson has been selected by Latvia's largest communication service provider, Latvijas Mobilais Telefons (LMT), to modernize its core network infrastructure and support the nationwide deployment of 5G Standalone (5G SA) services [1][8] - The partnership between Ericsson and LMT is long-standing, focusing on innovative initiatives and network development projects, marking the initial deployment of Ericsson's Unified Data Management (UDM) solution within the Telia Group [2][8] - The upgrade to a cloud-native architecture will enhance LMT's agility, scalability, and innovation in delivering advanced digital services [1][3] Company Developments - The deal involves a comprehensive overhaul of LMT's subscriber domain infrastructure, transitioning to a cloud-based, service-oriented architecture [3] - Key components of the transformation include the deployment of Ericsson's Network Functions Virtualization Infrastructure, allowing LMT to run both virtualized and cloud-native network functions [4] - The agreement also includes replacing LMT's legacy Home Location Register (HLR) and Home Subscriber Server (HSS) with Ericsson's UDM platform, crucial for supporting Latvia's expanding digital economy [5] Market Position and Strategy - Ericsson is positioned to grow by capitalizing on strong 5G demand, aiming to lead in mobile networks and develop a robust enterprise business [6] - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including Vonage and Cradlepoint, to expand into wireless, 5G, and security sectors [6] - Recent innovations include the launch of Ericsson On-Demand, a SaaS model for 5G core network services developed in collaboration with Google Cloud, enhancing operational efficiency for communications service providers [7] Challenges and Competition - Despite growth opportunities, Ericsson faces pressures from geopolitical and economic challenges, including declining revenues in China due to market share issues and competition from Huawei and Nokia [8][9] - Supply-chain issues and reduced spending by telecom operators in various regions are contributing to revenue declines [9] Financial Performance - Ericsson currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and has gained 37.3% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Wireless Equipment industry's growth of 33.3% [10]

Group 1 - Zacks Premium offers tools for investors to enhance their stock market confidence and knowledge, including daily updates, research reports, and stock screens [1][2] - The Zacks Style Scores provide a rating system for stocks based on value, growth, and momentum, helping investors identify securities likely to outperform the market [2][3] Group 2 - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E and Price/Sales [3] - The Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook, analyzing projected earnings and sales for sustainable growth [4] - The Momentum Score identifies trends in stock prices and earnings estimates, aiding investors in timing their stock purchases [5] Group 3 - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive rating that highlights stocks with attractive value, growth potential, and positive momentum [6] - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in building successful portfolios [7][8] Group 4 - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically produced an average annual return of +23.62% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [9][10] Group 5 - Walt Disney Company reported revenues of $91.4 billion in fiscal 2024 and holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) with a VGM Score of B [11] - Disney's Growth Style Score of B indicates a forecasted year-over-year earnings growth of 16.3% for the current fiscal year [11] - Recent analyst revisions have increased Disney's earnings estimate for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate rising to $5.78 per share [12]

Financial Performance & Growth - Synovus' diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) increased from $189 in 2016 to $399 in Q1 2019, representing a 26% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)[39] - Adjusted Return on Average Tangible Common Equity (ROATCE) increased by 860 basis points from 852% in 2016 to 1752% in Q1 2019[39] - Synovus is targeting a sustained 10+% CAGR in EPS growth, with a Return on Assets (ROA) of approximately 145%, an adjusted tangible efficiency ratio of approximately 50%, and a Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) of approximately 170%[47, 48] - The company reported adjusted diluted EPS of $098 in Q1 2019, a 151% increase year-over-year[50] Merger & Acquisition - The merger with Florida Community Bank (FCB) significantly strengthens Synovus' Florida footprint, making it >1/3 of the pro forma franchise[34] - Synovus expects to surpass $30 million in FCB-related cost savings in 2019 and complete the full conversion in Q2 2019[63] - The FCB merger is projected to result in a ~17% Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and a ~17% ROATCE[124] Balance Sheet & Credit Quality - As of Q1 2019, Synovus had total assets of $47 billion and loans of $36 billion[22] - The company's loan growth in Q1 2019, including FCB, annualized to 46%, compared to a standalone Synovus loan growth of 16% in Q1 2018[128] - The Net Charge-Off (NCO) ratio was 019% in Q1 2019[55] 2019 Outlook - Synovus anticipates loan growth of 55% to 75% and revenue growth of 55% to 75% for 2019[60] - The company projects adjusted non-interest expense growth of 2% to 4% in 2019, excluding amortization of intangibles of approximately $14 million[60]

税收收入降幅的收窄显示出中国经济稳中向好的态势。但另一 方 面 ， GDP( 国 内 生 产 总 值 ) 与 税 收 收 入 的 倒 挂 仍 在 扩 大 。 2024年，在没有大规模减税出台的背景下，税收增速与GDP 的 剪 刀 差 扩 大 到 -8.4% ， 2025 年 一 季 度 进 一 步 拉 大 至-8.9%。 作者： 杜涛 封图：图虫创意 财政部数据显示，2025年前五月全国税收收入79156亿元，下降1.6%，降幅比1—4月收窄0.5个百 分点。分税种看，1—5月国内增值税、国内消费税、个人所得税同比增长，进口货物增值税消费 税、关税、企业所得税同比下降。 税收收入降幅的收窄显示出中国经济稳中向好的态势。但另一方面，GDP(国内生产总值)与税收收 入的倒挂仍在扩大。2024年，在没有大规模减税出台的背景下，税收增速与GDP的剪刀差扩大 到-8.4%，2025年一季度进一步拉大至-8.9%。 中国此前也曾出现过GDP与税收倒挂的问题，主要原因是相关税制改革或大规模减税降费政策的 实施。比如，2016年全面推行营业税改增值税、2019年大规模下调增值税税率、2022年疫情冲击 下推出4.6万亿元的减 ...

作者 | 第一财经 程程 2025.07. 04 本文字数：2067，阅读时长大约4分钟 美欧谈判进展如何？ 封图 | 新华社 据新华社，欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩3日表示，欧盟在关税问题上"准备好与美国达成一项原则性协议"。 但若谈判失败，欧盟将坚决采取反制措施以保护欧洲经济。 欧盟委员会负责贸易和经济安全等事务的委员谢夫乔维奇（Maroš Š efč ovič ）3日飞抵华盛顿，预计 将先后与美国财政部长贝森特、商务部长卢特尼克和贸易代表格里尔进行会晤，试图在7月9日之前达成 协议。 目前，美国对欧盟钢铝产品征收50%关税，对汽车领域征收25%关税，对几乎所有其他商品征收10%基 准关税。美国总统特朗普此前威胁称，如果7月9日前美欧贸易谈判没有取得突破，他将对欧盟商品征收 50%关税。 根据欧盟估计，美国目前对欧盟出口征收的关税覆盖了约3800亿欧元产品，占其对美出口总额的70%。 牛津经济研究院在一份研究报告中表示，若美欧出现贸易战，德国、爱尔兰、意大利、比利时和荷兰是欧 洲最脆弱的国家，因为这些国家的对美出口占各自国民经济生产总值（GDP）的比例较高。 有欧盟外交官向媒体透露，欧盟可能接受10%的全面关税 ...

Financial Performance & Position - Synovus' total assets reached $53.0 billion[8] and loans amounted to $39.5 billion[8] as of 9/30/2020 - Deposits totaled $44.7 billion[8] and the market capitalization was $4.9 billion[8] as of 12/04/2020 - The company reported a return on average assets of 0.69% and an adjusted return on average assets of 1.05%[18,47] - YTD 3Q20 adjusted net interest income was $1,120.635 million, compared to $1,128.035 million in YTD 3Q19[10,48] - YTD 3Q20 adjusted non-interest revenue was $310.446 million, compared to $259.940 million in YTD 3Q19[10,48] Strategic Initiatives & Efficiencies - Synovus is committed to approximately $100 million run-rate benefit by year-end 2021 through Synovus Forward initiatives[38] - The company anticipates a $25 million pre-tax benefit from third-party spend optimization[32] - Customer analytics are expected to generate over $20 million in pre-tax benefits[39] - Branch and real estate optimization is projected to yield $12 million in pre-tax benefits, with 13 branch closures in 2020[39] Credit Quality & Capital - Allowance for credit losses was $665 million, representing 1.80% of loans excluding Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans[29] - Full principal and interest deferrals were less than 1% of total loans[29]