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Ford lower guidance, estimates $1B tariff impact
Youtube· 2025-10-24 16:40
Core Insights - Ford has lowered its outlook despite beating Q3 expectations, with shares reaching a 52-week high, indicating strong market performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - Ford exceeded Q3 expectations on both revenue and earnings, attributed partly to better-than-expected management of tariff impacts [2][3]. - The anticipated tariff impact for Ford has been revised down from $2.5 billion to approximately $1 billion [3]. Tariff Impact - General Motors has also reduced its expected tariff impact for the year from $4 to $5 billion to a range of $3.5 to $4.5 billion [4][5]. - Both Ford and GM are experiencing increased demand for trucks and SUVs, which is contributing to their positive financial outlook [7]. Production Plans - Ford confirmed that its plans to build Superduty pickup trucks in Oakville, Ontario, remain unchanged despite ongoing production in Canada and Mexico [6]. - The companies are not halting production in Canada and Mexico, indicating a balanced approach to manufacturing [5][6]. Electric Vehicle Market - The share of electric vehicles (EVs) in the U.S. market is expected to stabilize around 5% to 6%, with a need for more offerings in the $35,000 to $45,000 price range to drive demand [7][8].
Ford Stock Has Quadrupled Tesla's Gains. What's Behind Its Meteoric Rise.
Barrons· 2025-10-24 16:07
Core Insights - Ford's shares have increased by 36%, driven by factors such as tariffs, electric vehicles, and notably low expectations in the market [1] - In contrast, Tesla has only achieved a 9% return, indicating a significant disparity in market performance between the two companies [1] Factors Influencing Performance - Tariffs have played a role in enhancing Ford's stock performance, suggesting that external trade policies may be favoring the company [1] - The rise of electric vehicles is contributing positively to Ford's market position, aligning with industry trends towards sustainability and innovation [1] - Low market expectations have created a favorable environment for Ford, allowing for a more pronounced increase in share value compared to Tesla [1]
Former Ford CEO: Expect gradual growth in EV market, but not at pace automakers thought
Youtube· 2025-10-24 15:56
Core Insights - Ford reported strong earnings, beating expectations on both revenue and profit, but lowered guidance due to operational disruptions caused by a fire at their primary aluminum supplier's manufacturing plant [1][3][13] - The automotive industry is currently focused on gauging demand for both internal combustion and electric vehicles (EVs), adjusting pricing strategies, and aligning cost structures amid increasing global competition [2][4] Financial Performance - Ford and GM both had strong quarterly results, with significant sales in trucks and SUVs contributing to positive market reactions [3][7] - Ford's stock saw a notable increase of 9.5% following the earnings report, indicating investor confidence despite the challenges faced [14] Industry Challenges - The automotive supply chain, particularly among smaller tier 2 to tier 4 suppliers, is under significant strain due to recent challenges such as COVID-19 and semiconductor shortages, leading to some high-profile bankruptcies [8][9] - The industry is experiencing a gradual growth in the EV market, although at a slower pace than previously anticipated, resulting in impairment charges for major automakers [6][12] Market Dynamics - The government has extended tariff relief on imported parts, providing an advantage to domestic manufacturers like Ford and GM, especially for medium and heavy-duty trucks [3][4] - There is a concern regarding the potential impact of rising subprime delinquencies, although they currently represent a small percentage of the overall automotive financing market [11][12] Supply Chain Issues - The fire at the aluminum supplier's plant is expected to have a less severe impact than initially feared, with operations anticipated to resume by the end of the year [13] - A new semiconductor issue is emerging, which could pose significant challenges for the industry, potentially more impactful than previous shortages [13]
Ford Tops Q3 Earnings Mark, Cuts '25 EBIT View Amid Novelis Fire
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 15:16
Core Insights - Ford reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of 45 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 38 cents but down from 49 cents in the same quarter last year. Consolidated revenues reached $50.5 billion, a 9.3% year-over-year increase. Total automotive revenues were $47.2 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $42.7 billion and up from $43 billion a year ago [1]. Segmental Performance - In the Ford Blue segment, total wholesale volume increased by 2% year over year to 733,000 units, exceeding expectations of 630,000 units. Revenues rose 7% year over year to $28 billion, surpassing the estimate of $23.5 billion. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) were $1.54 billion, above the projection of $925.7 million, with an EBIT margin of 5.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the same quarter in 2024 [3]. - The Ford Model e segment saw total wholesale volume rise 57% year over year to 50,000 units, though it fell short of the estimate of 57,000. Revenues jumped 52% year over year to $1.8 billion but missed the estimate of $2.6 billion. The segment reported a loss before interest and taxes of $1.4 billion, compared to an estimated loss of $1.58 billion [4]. - In the Ford Pro segment, total wholesale volume increased by 9% year over year to 373,000 units, below the expectation of 401,000. Revenues rose 11% year over year to $17.4 billion, slightly missing the expectation of $17.6 billion. EBIT was $1.98 billion, slightly below the projection of $2 billion, with an EBIT margin of 11.4% [5]. Financial Position - Ford reported adjusted free cash flow of $4.3 billion for the quarter, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $26.8 billion as of September 30, 2025. Long-term debt, excluding Ford Credit, amounted to $17.8 billion on the same date [7]. 2025 Outlook - Ford anticipates full-year 2025 adjusted EBIT in the range of $6-$6.5 billion, down from $10.2 billion in 2024 and the previous forecast of $6.5-$7.5 billion due to the impact of the Novelis plant fire. Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be between $2-$3 billion, down from prior guidance of $3.5-$4.5 billion and $6.7 billion recorded in 2024. Capital expenditures are projected to be around $9 billion [8].
3 Reasons Why Ford Is Up 9% Today
247Wallst· 2025-10-24 13:53
Ford's disciplined hybrid and affordable EV strategy improves profitability outlook amid slower EV adoption. ...
Ford to End Production of Failed F-150 Lightning
247Wallst· 2025-10-24 13:15
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) posted strong numbers for the third quarter. ...
Ford Earnings: A Sigh Of Relief, But Not Enough To Justify A Buy Rating
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-24 12:52
Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA is a former strategy consultant within the field of brand and intangible assets valuation. During his career in the City of London he has been working with some of the largest global brands within the technology, telecom and banking sectors. He graduated from the London School of Economics and is interested in finding reasonably priced businesses with sustainable long-term competitive advantages.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of t ...
Ford rises on Q3 beat; cost control progress outweigh supplier fire setback
Invezz· 2025-10-24 12:26
Shares of Ford Motor Co. rose more than 4% in premarket trading on Friday after the automaker beat Wall Street's third-quarter earnings expectations, even as it cut its 2025 guidance due to production... ...
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Futures Rise Ahead Of Delayed September CPI Report—Intel, Ford, Procter & Gamble In Focus - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-10-24 09:47
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures advanced on Friday following positive moves on Thursday, with major benchmark indices showing higher futures [1] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.01%, while the two-year bond was at 3.49%, indicating market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in October with a 98.9% likelihood [2] Futures Performance - Dow Jones increased by 0.04%, S&P 500 by 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 by 0.41%, and Russell 2000 by 0.27% [3] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) rose 0.32% to $673.89, and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) advanced 0.53% to $613.81 in premarket trading [3] Company Highlights - **Intel Corp.**: Jumped 8.44% in premarket after reporting Q3 revenue of $13.65 billion, exceeding estimates of $13.14 billion, and earnings of 23 cents per share, beating estimates by one cent [5] - **Ford Motor Co.**: Rose 2.51% after reporting quarterly earnings of 45 cents per share, surpassing the estimate of 36 cents, and revenue of $47.18 billion, above the $43.07 billion estimate [6] - **Deckers Outdoor Corp.**: Dropped 10.90% despite better-than-expected financial results due to disappointing full-year sales guidance [6] - **Plug Power Inc.**: Advanced 4.51% after announcing a milestone deployment of its hydrogen fuel cell systems at Floor & Decor Holdings' distribution center [6] - **Procter & Gamble Co.**: Shares increased by 0.39% ahead of its earnings report, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.90 per share on revenue of $22.17 billion [6] Sector Insights - The AI boom is creating significant opportunities in sectors beyond Technology, particularly in Industrials and Utilities, which are essential for building data centers and upgrading the power grid [8][9] - An estimated $3 will be spent on supporting infrastructure for every $1 spent on AI, indicating a long-term secular trend in infrastructure investment [10]
Ford CEO Jim Farley Predicts EV Adoption In US Will Only Be About 5% As Company Pauses F-150 Lightning Production - Ford Motor (NYSE:F)
Benzinga· 2025-10-24 06:57
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) CEO Jim Farley predicted that EV adoption in the U.S. would fall amid a pivot towards Hybrid and ICE-powered vehicles.Check out the current price of F here.EV Adoption To Be Around 5%During the automaker's third-quarter earnings call with investors, Farley predicted falling demand for EVs amid federal policy changes and incentive rollbacks in the U.S. "In the near term, I believe EV adoption will now only be about 5% of the U.S. market," Farley said. He added that the demand for EVs ...