Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the author's investment strategy, focusing on medium-term investing in growth stories and identifying catalysts for value unlocking or downside risks [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company emphasizes a medium-term investment approach, targeting ideas with catalysts that can unlock value and drive upside [1]. - The strategy includes short selling when there are identified downside catalysts [1]. - The company prefers investing in growth stories that are available at reasonable prices [1]. Group 2: Sector Preferences - The company is a generalist in terms of sector preferences but has significant experience analyzing the industrial, consumer, and technology sectors [1]. - Higher conviction in investments is typically found within the industrial, consumer, and technology sectors due to the author's professional background [1].

Waste Management stock price has rebounded in the past few months, helped by its recent dividend and buyback hikes. WM jumped to a high of $230 on Monday, up by 20% from its lowest level in October. ...

Core Viewpoint - WM is expected to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 28, 2026, with a consensus revenue estimate of $6.4 billion, reflecting a 14.5% increase year-over-year [1][2][11] Revenue Expectations - The revenue from the Collection segment is estimated at $3.9 billion, indicating a 4% year-over-year increase [3][11] - Landfill revenues are projected at $958 million, suggesting a 12% growth compared to the previous year [3][11] - The Transfer segment is expected to generate $381 million in revenues, representing a 6% rise year-over-year [3][11] - Recycling Processing and Sales segment revenues are estimated at $360 million, which is a 10% decline from the year-ago quarter [4] - WM Healthcare Solutions is anticipated to see revenues of $616 million, marking a significant 53% increase year-over-year [4][11] - Renewable Energy revenues are projected at $149 million, reflecting a 60% increase compared to the previous year [5][11] Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is set at $1.95, indicating a 14.7% growth from the year-ago quarter [5][11] - WM currently has an Earnings ESP of -2.85% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting that the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat this time [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts predict Waste Management (WM) will report quarterly earnings of $1.95 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.7%, with revenues expected to reach $6.39 billion, an 8.4% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.3% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Operating revenues- Recycling Processing and Sales' will be $360.11 million, showing a year-over-year decline of 9.5% [5]. - 'Operating revenues- WM Renewable Energy' is expected to reach $149.45 million, indicating a significant year-over-year increase of 60.7% [5]. - 'Operating revenues- Corporate and Other' is projected at $5.18 million, reflecting a 3.6% increase from the previous year [6]. Internal Revenue Growth - The estimated 'Internal Revenue Growth - Period-to-Period Change - Total - As a % of Total Company' is likely to be 8.1%, down from 13.0% reported in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Internal Revenue Growth - Period-to-Period Change - Internal revenue growth - As a % of Total Company' is forecasted to be 2.5%, compared to 4.0% reported in the same quarter last year [7]. Stock Performance - Waste Management shares have returned +3.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which changed by +0.6% [7]. - WM holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to mirror overall market performance in the near future [7].

Company Performance - Waste Management (WM) shares increased by 1.11% to $229.00, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.55% [1] - Over the past month, WM's shares gained 2.32%, while the Business Services sector declined by 2.82% and the S&P 500 rose by 0.71% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings report for Waste Management is scheduled for January 28, 2026, with projected EPS of $1.95, indicating a 14.71% increase year-over-year [2] - Quarterly revenue is expected to reach $6.39 billion, reflecting an 8.44% increase from the same period last year [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the fiscal year, earnings are projected at $7.51 per share and revenue at $25.26 billion, showing changes of +3.87% and 0% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Waste Management may indicate short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting optimism about the business outlook [3] Analyst Ratings and Valuation - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently rates Waste Management at 3 (Hold) [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for Waste Management is 27.33, aligning with the industry average [6] - The PEG ratio for WM is 2.54, compared to the industry average of 2.27, indicating a higher expected earnings growth rate relative to peers [7] Industry Context - The Waste Removal Services industry, part of the Business Services sector, ranks 157th in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 36% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank suggests that the top 50% of rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Insights - Waste Management Inc. (NYSE: WM) experienced a significant Power Inflow alert, indicating a bullish trend in trading activity, particularly from institutional and retail investors [4][6]. Trading Activity - On January 21, WM triggered a Power Inflow signal at a price of $222.60, following a period of stagnant trading. After the alert, the stock price rose to a post-alert high of $226.15 by 2:45 PM EST, reflecting increased buying interest [5][8]. - The Power Inflow alert is designed to highlight moments of significant order flow shifts, suggesting a higher probability of bullish price movement for the remainder of the trading day [6][8]. Order Flow Analytics - Order flow analytics provide insights into real-time buying and selling behavior, analyzing volume, timing, and order size among retail and institutional participants. This data helps traders make informed decisions based on market sentiment [7]. - The effectiveness of TradePulse's Power Inflow alert is demonstrated by the intraday gains captured by traders who acted on the signal, emphasizing the value of monitoring order flow data for identifying bullish momentum [8].

Market Overview - The waste management market was valued at US$ 1.20 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$ 2.30 trillion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.72% from 2025 to 2033 [1] - Municipal solid waste production has surpassed 2.2 billion tons annually globally, highlighting the urgent need for innovative waste management solutions [2][11] Urbanization and Waste Generation - Urban populations are expected to increase by an additional 1.5 billion people by 2030, intensifying the strain on existing waste management infrastructures [3] - Cities like Mumbai generate over 9,400 tons of municipal waste daily, emphasizing the need for efficient waste handling systems [12] Waste-to-Energy (WtE) Adoption - The adoption of waste-to-energy plants is transforming the waste management market, with over 450 WtE plants processing around 250 million tons of municipal solid waste annually [4] - In the U.S., Florida has 11 WtE plants processing approximately 5.5 million tons of waste annually, generating enough electricity to power over 300,000 homes [5] Technological Innovations - The waste management market is experiencing a technological transformation, with IoT-powered smart waste systems in Dubai handling over 3,000 tons of waste daily and optimizing collection routes [7] - AI-powered robots developed by companies like ZenRobotics can sort 250,000 tons of waste annually, improving efficiency and recycling quality [8][10] Market Segmentation - Municipal waste accounts for over 32% of the total market share, driven by the enormous volume generated globally [11] - Collection services dominate the market with over 43% share, collecting more than 1.8 billion tons of municipal waste each year [14][16] Regional Insights - The Asia Pacific region holds over 59.14% of the global waste management market share, driven by high population density and rapid urbanization [17] - Countries like China and India generate over 500 million tons of waste annually, with China alone accounting for approximately 235 million tons [17][18]

Core Insights - WM's shares have increased by 2.6% over the past three months, outperforming the industry's decline of 1.8% [1] - The company's Q4 2025 earnings are projected to rise by 14.7% year over year, with earnings for 2025 and 2026 expected to grow by 3.9% and 10.4% respectively [1] - Revenues are anticipated to increase by 14.5% in 2025 and 5.4% in 2026 [1] Group 1: Growth Factors - WM's advanced waste collection, recycling, and disposal infrastructure supports sustainable long-term growth, backed by a comprehensive network of assets including landfills, recycling facilities, and waste-to-energy plants [2] - The integration of modern technology and process improvements enhances WM's service delivery across various sectors [2] Group 2: Demand and Investment Appeal - The essential nature of waste management services drives consistent demand for WM's offerings, resulting in steady returns and low volatility, appealing to long-term investors seeking safety [3] - WM's pricing and cost-control strategy aligns price adjustments with service quality, ensuring customer satisfaction and margin protection, contributing to steady growth [4] Group 3: Dividend Consistency - WM has been a consistent dividend payer since 1998, with dividends increasing from $970 million in 2021 to $1.21 billion in 2024, attracting long-term investors [4][8]

Core Insights - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service and community focused on the oil and natural gas sectors, emphasizing cash flow and the companies that generate it, which leads to value and growth prospects with real potential [1] Group 1 - The service offers subscribers access to a model account with over 50 stocks, in-depth cash flow analyses of exploration and production (E&P) firms, and live chat discussions about the sector [1]

Core Insights - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service and community focused on the oil and natural gas sectors, emphasizing cash flow generation and growth potential [1] Group 1 - The service offers subscribers access to a model account with over 50 stocks, detailed cash flow analyses of exploration and production (E&P) firms, and live discussions about the sector [1]