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Kinder Morgan Q2 Results: Natural Gas Trends Drive Constructive Outlook
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-18 12:00
JHVEPhoto Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) reported earnings after the bell on Wednesday, providing details on its growing project backlog and constructive outlook, largely fueled by increasing demand for natural gas. The midstream company emphasized the important role of liquefied natural ...
Antero Resources: Natural Gas Prices Remain Rangebound, Maintain Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-17 04:06
Natural gas (NG) prices continue range bound in part from excessive production. Over the past several weeks production rose reaching slightly above past daily highs at 112.5 bcf vs. 111 bcf, a few years ago. The results sent storage significantlyI have been an investor for several decades enduring the 87 crash, 2000 crash, and 08 crash. I do use trading systems developed with TradeStation. I have enjoyed the rewards from both buy and hold and trading. My professional experiences includes several decades as ...
Kinder Morgan(KMI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-16 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 6% and adjusted EPS increased by 12% compared to the previous year [7] - Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan was $715 million, a 24% increase from the second quarter of 2024 [19] - Adjusted net income was $619 million, with adjusted EPS of $0.28, reflecting a 13% increase from the previous year [20] - The company ended the quarter with $32.3 billion in net debt and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.0x, down from 4.1x in the previous quarter [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Natural gas transport volumes were up 3% due to LNG deliveries, while natural gas gathering volumes were down 6% [14] - Refined products and crude volumes were both up 2% compared to the previous year [15] - The CO2 segment saw a 3% decrease in oil production volumes but a 13% increase in NGL volumes [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. natural gas demand is expected to grow by 20% by 2030 according to Wood Mackenzie estimates [9] - LNG feed gas demand in the U.S. is projected to increase by 3.5 BCF per day this summer compared to 2024, and more than double by 2030 [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to own and operate stable fee-based assets core to energy infrastructure, using cash flow to invest in attractive return projects while maintaining a solid balance sheet [13] - The strategy remains focused on expanding natural gas pipeline networks to support growing demand, particularly in LNG and power sectors [15][49] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth of natural gas, driven by increasing global demand and U.S. LNG exports [3][5] - The federal permitting environment has improved, allowing for quicker project approvals, which is expected to benefit future growth [10][90] Other Important Information - The project backlog increased from $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion during the quarter, with $1.3 billion in new projects added [11] - The company expects significant cash tax benefits in 2026 and 2027 due to recent tax reforms [10][52] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in the commercial landscape and competitive advantages - Management highlighted the existing asset footprint and a strong track record in project delivery as key competitive advantages [28][29] Question: Progress on natural gas infrastructure expansion in Arizona - Management acknowledged the need for more natural gas in Arizona and mentioned ongoing discussions regarding potential projects [31] Question: Capital allocation between gas pipelines and gathering investments - Management reiterated that investment decisions are based on risk-reward assessments, with no changes in their approach [36] Question: Update on behind-the-meter opportunities - Management noted that most activity is seen from regulated utilities, with potential for independent power producers to announce projects [40] Question: Trends in gas demand and project mix - Management indicated that while LNG is a significant driver of demand growth, power demand is also expected to grow substantially [49] Question: Impact of tax reform on cash flow and project financing - Management confirmed that tax reform will provide benefits starting in 2025, but it will not change their investment strategy or return thresholds [54] Question: Concerns about potential oversupply in the LNG market - Management stated that they have not seen a slowdown in discussions with LNG customers and continue to see new projects being announced [105][106]
Kinder Morgan(KMI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-16 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 6% and adjusted EPS increased by 12% compared to the previous year [9] - Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan was $715 million, a 24% increase from the second quarter of 2024 [20] - Adjusted net income was $619 million, with adjusted EPS of $0.28, reflecting a 13% increase from the previous year [21] - Net debt at the end of the quarter was $32.3 billion, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.0x, down from 4.1x in the previous quarter [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Natural gas transportation volumes were up 3% due to LNG deliveries, while natural gas gathering volumes decreased by 6% [16] - Refined products and crude volumes both increased by 2% compared to the previous year [17] - The CO2 segment saw a 3% decrease in oil production volumes but a 13% increase in NGL volumes [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. natural gas demand is expected to grow by 20% by 2030, with significant contributions from LNG exports [10] - LNG feed gas demand in the U.S. is projected to increase by 3.5 BCF per day this summer compared to 2024, and more than double by 2030 [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to own and operate stable fee-based assets, using cash flow to invest in attractive return projects while maintaining a solid balance sheet [14] - The project backlog increased from $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion, with new projects added and existing projects placed in service [12] - The company is focused on expanding its natural gas pipeline network to support growing demand [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth of natural gas demand, driven by population growth and the transition to cleaner energy sources [4] - The federal permitting environment has improved, allowing for quicker project approvals [10] - Management expects significant cash tax benefits from recent tax reforms, with no material cash tax liability anticipated until 2028 [11] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share, an increase of 2% from the previous year [20] - Moody's and S&P have placed the company's credit rating on a positive outlook [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Has the commercial landscape changed with demand tailwinds? - Management noted that their existing asset footprint and track record in project delivery have allowed them to remain competitive in securing projects [28] Question: What is the progress on building additional natural gas infrastructure in Arizona? - Management acknowledged the need for more natural gas in Arizona and mentioned ongoing discussions regarding potential projects [31] Question: How does the company view capital allocation between gas pipelines and gathering investments? - Management emphasized that investment decisions are based on risk-reward assessments, with no change in their approach to capital allocation [36] Question: What is the outlook for behind-the-meter opportunities? - Management indicated that most activity is seen from regulated utilities, with potential for future projects as IPPs secure contracts [40] Question: How does the company view the risk of Permian overbuild? - Management expressed confidence in their existing contracts and the ability to extract value from their pipelines, viewing the risk as low [80][82] Question: What is the expected timeline for the Haynesville gathering project? - Management plans to have facilities in service by the end of the fourth quarter next year, with volume ramp-up expected [87]
Energy Secretary Chris Wright on improving energy infrastructure
CNBC Television· 2025-07-15 15:27
Yeah, good morning, Sarah. Thank you very much. Got three cabinet level members here.President Trump will be arriving later today and literally trillions of dollars of net value of corporate America here in Pittsburgh at Carnegie Melon University. We're going to be here all day through the president's talk and we are pleased to kick off our coverage live with the Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. Secretary Wright, great to chat with you again.Great to be here, Brian. Uh, wow. The number went from 70 billion ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-11 07:58
Traders have ramped up bookings at German natural gas storage sites, marking a sharp turnaround from earlier this year when the country exited winter with stockpiles at a three-year low https://t.co/LWyRTmjyuU ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-10 06:48
Short-term volatility in Europe’s natural gas market dropped to the lowest level in nearly four years as ample supply overshadows concerns about potential demand spikes across the globe https://t.co/gbK86tZwdo ...
Hovnanian Enterprises: A Top-Tier Homebuilder
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-09 14:11
Those who follow my work closely know that I run a hyper-concentrated portfolio. At any point in time, I usually own between five and ten investments. The goal here is to have some diversification but not to have so much that I can'tCrude Value Insights offers you an investing service and community focused on oil and natural gas. We focus on cash flow and the companies that generate it, leading to value and growth prospects with real potential.Subscribers get to use a 50+ stock model account, in-depth cash ...
EIA短期能源展望报告:预计2025年美国天然气(干气)产量为1059.0亿立方英尺/日,此前预期为1059.0亿立方英尺/日。
news flash· 2025-07-08 16:07
Core Viewpoint - The EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects that U.S. natural gas (dry gas) production will reach 105.9 billion cubic feet per day by 2025, unchanged from previous expectations [1] Group 1 - The projected natural gas production for 2025 is 105.9 billion cubic feet per day [1]
What's Fueling Natural Gas Right Now? 3 Stocks to Follow
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 12:46
Industry Overview - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a natural gas storage build of 55 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ending June 27, bringing total inventories to 2,953 Bcf, which is above expert expectations and continues an 11-week trend of larger-than-average additions [1][8] - Current storage levels are 6.2% above the five-year average but nearly 6% below last year's levels, indicating potential for supply tightening if cooling demand remains strong [6] Demand Dynamics - Total natural gas usage, including LNG exports, is projected to exceed 106 Bcf per day, up from 103.7 Bcf per day the previous week, driven by hot weather and increased demand for cooling [4] - LNG exports are gradually recovering, averaging 15.4 Bcf per day in early July, despite some minor roadblocks due to softer global prices [4] Price Movements - Natural gas prices have been volatile, with U.S. natural gas futures for August delivery dropping 2.26% to $3.44 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) following the EIA's storage report, reflecting concerns over excess supply [5] - Spot prices recently reached a three-year high for June, averaging $3.02/MMBtu, indicating traders are closely monitoring weather patterns for potential demand increases [5] Investment Opportunities - Companies such as Expand Energy (EXE), Coterra Energy (CTRA), and Antero Resources (AR) are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their strong fundamentals and positioning in the natural gas market [3][8] - Expand Energy has become the largest natural gas producer in the U.S. and is well-positioned to benefit from increasing demand, with a projected 461.7% year-over-year surge in 2025 earnings per share [9][10] - Coterra Energy, with a significant share of natural gas in its production, has an expected earnings growth rate of 29.1% over the next three to five years, outperforming the industry average [11][12] - Antero Resources, a leading natural gas producer, has a strong production outlook with a projected 1,457.1% year-over-year growth in 2025 earnings per share [13][14]