Geopolitical Risk - Iran has expanded and improved its missile arsenal since the 12-day war [1] - Uncertainty surrounding Iran's nuclear program provides leverage in future negotiations with America [1]

RT DETERMINISTIC OPTIMISM 🌞 (@nvk)This nuclear ship will bring all the expensive solar stuff to Germany who destroyed its nuclear program 🫠 ...

The Kim dynasty has long hoped that, eventually, the world would begrudgingly accept North Korea’s nuclear status. Now it seems to be inching closer to that goal https://t.co/x664Ksfvdd ...

Geopolitical Risk - China questions Europe's plan to reimpose sanctions on Iran regarding its nuclear program [1] - Industry warns that such actions could potentially worsen the situation [1]

Geopolitical Implications - US welcomes Europe's plan to reimpose sanctions on Iran regarding its nuclear program [1]

International Relations - UK, France, Germany and Iran to maintain contact regarding Tehran's nuclear program [1] - Talks on Tehran's nuclear program concluded without a breakthrough [1]

Geopolitical Risk - Nuclear talks between Iranian and European officials are scheduled for Friday in Istanbul [1] - Tensions are high regarding Tehran's nuclear program following a US military strike last month [1]

Nuclear Program Talks - Iran has reached an agreement in principle to hold talks with the UK, France and Germany over its nuclear program [1] News Source - The report was released by the semi-official Tasnim news agency [1]

Geopolitical Risk - Iran and the US have not reached an agreement on the time, date, or location for resuming stalled negotiations regarding Tehran's nuclear program [1]

Iran Nuclear Program Status - The strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities were effective in knocking out thousands of centrifuges, making it difficult to reach enriched uranium [1] - Some enriched uranium may have survived the strikes, and parts of the program were never targeted [1] - Iran's nuclear program has been diminished and set back, but not eliminated [1] - Iran may try to rebuild its nuclear program in decentralized ways, which will take time [1] Geopolitical Implications and Diplomacy - Iran has stopped cooperation with international weapons inspectors, complicating diplomacy [2] - Sanctions relief is a major Iranian demand for returning to the negotiating table [1] - Diplomacy is a long shot, and it's unrealistic to think it will solve the problem permanently [1] - The US military operation has made the Iranian regime more vulnerable [3] - The Trump administration may pursue a diplomatic resolution, potentially offering sanction relief on Iranian oil [10] - A grand bargain with Iran should prioritize preventing the reconstitution of their nuclear program, requiring international weapons inspectors and offering sanctions relief [16] Potential Future Actions - Military force may be used again against Iran's nuclear program if diplomatic solutions fail [1] - Future military action would likely involve discreet strikes, similar to those conducted by Israel and the United States [18] - A two-pronged policy of diplomatic exploration and the potential for renewed military force is recommended [15][19]