crypto exchanges are silently robbing you and what it really comes down to is spreads and those are buys and sells. I'm going to tell you today what they are, how you need to avoid them, and what you need to do moving forward. So, we're going to take a look at uh four of the biggest exchanges out there.Take a look at Binance US, Coinbase, Crypto. com, and Kraken. And we take a look at Binance.You can see that the confirmed buy and I want to preface it with this that is that the timestamp in the upper leftan ...

Global Research ab 9 July 2025 Global Strategy Navigating Summer Tariff Deadlines: Top 5 Trades & Client Positioning Summary: Investors still see tariffs as the #1 risk with little priced in for escalation. We think receiving July/Sept ECB contract is a decent hedge for FI portfolios. Most investors are sitting on cash, ready to buy the dip in case of renewed tariff-induced volatility. We open a Long EU IG vs. Itrax Main which appears well placed to benefit from potential summer volatility, supported by a c ...

Group 1 - The article focuses on the recent widening of credit spreads for Capital One Financial Corporation's preferred stocks, indicating potential investment opportunities and risks in this area [1] - It will analyze various metrics including yields, yield spreads, and credit ratings of Capital One's preferred stocks [1] - The analysis will also include a comparison of these metrics with other relevant financial instruments [1] Group 2 - The investing group Trade With Beta offers features such as frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks, weekly reviews of over 1200 equities, and hedging strategies [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of active investor participation and discussion in a chat room with experienced traders [1]

We've been watching a big developing story in the oil market today. So too is Mark Fiser. He joins us now on the CNBC News Line.Certainly one of the most astute energy traders ever. So through the traders eyes here, Mark, and a good one at that. What are your thoughts as you watch what's unfolding there.Well, Scott, there's too much, you know, uncertainty obviously. Um there's too much asymmetry up or down to really do anything. I mean the everyone's antenna was raised about, you know, a couple weeks ago wh ...

Recent EU and to a lesser extent US economic data have surprised to the upside - our proprietary economic risk measure now less negative vs. 3m ago - challenging our initial recessionary scenario (Scenario 1 - here). While some front-loading of exports might be temporarily boosting Q2'25 EU growth, we expect momentum to fade later this year, aligning with our base case of weaker growth in Q3-Q4'25. With the US administration considering a 50% tariff on EU goods, our downside scenario implies an effective ta ...

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted that the markets have not fully accounted for risks such as inflation, stagflation, credit spreads, tariffs, and geopolitical challenges [1] - Dimon expressed concerns about the greater likelihood of inflation and stagflation than commonly perceived, and noted that credit spreads have not factored in a potential downturn [1] - Despite economic uncertainties, JPMorgan Chase is projecting an increase in earnings from interest payments this year [2] Group 2 - JPMorgan's Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum indicated that the bank's net interest income could rise by $1 billion this year, although the full-year projection of $94.5 billion remains unchanged for now [3] - The bank anticipates a net charge-off rate for credit card debt to be between 3.6% and 3.9% for 2026, compared to an expected 3.6% for the current year [4] - Consumer confidence and small business sentiment have worsened, with over half of businesses in goods-producing sectors expecting negative impacts from tariffs, driven by supply chain disruptions and rising raw material costs [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial loan portfolio reached $10.7 billion, reflecting a 6.5% increase quarter over quarter and a 23% increase year over year [5] - Net interest income totaled $65.3 million, with a net interest margin of 2.36%, remaining resilient and in line with guidance [6][19] - Deposits rose to $5.9 billion, up 8% quarter over quarter and 24% year over year, representing almost 60% of total funding [5][15] - Net income for the quarter was $51.7 million, with a return on equity of 15.4% [7][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total loan portfolio reached a record $8.7 billion, up 18% year over year and 4% quarter over quarter [10] - The contingency portfolio, including letters of credit and guarantees, grew to nearly $2 billion, up 20% quarter over quarter and 49% year over year [11] - Fee income totaled $10.6 million, up 12% year over year, with letters of credit generating $6.7 million in fees [6][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong performance was noted in Argentina, Mexico, and Guatemala, contributing to the growth of the loan portfolio [5][11] - The bank maintained a strong liquidity position with $1.9 billion in liquid assets, representing 15% of total assets [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a robust and diversified pipeline with long-standing clients, particularly in sectors less exposed to tariff discussions [4] - A proactive commercial execution strategy is in place, supported by close client relationships and deep local market insights [4] - The company aims to maintain its full-year guidance despite global uncertainties, emphasizing prudent execution and long-term value creation [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The global economic environment has shifted, leading to increased uncertainty and potential impacts on growth forecasts [27] - Latin America remains relatively insulated from direct tariff effects, with opportunities to benefit from shifts in global supply chains [29] - The company is well-positioned to manage exposures and capitalize on arising opportunities, with only 15% of its trade finance portfolio linked to the US [30] Other Important Information - The capital ratio remains strong at above 15%, with a quarterly dividend of $0.0625 per share approved, reflecting confidence in earnings outlook [8][18] - The efficiency ratio improved to 26.9%, down from 29.2% in the prior quarter, indicating effective cost management [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the increase in operating costs, and what can be expected going forward? - The increase in costs is mainly due to headcount growth, IT investments, and consulting fees tied to the execution of the strategic plan. The pace of hiring is expected to decelerate moving forward [34][36] Question: Can you comment on the growth in the commercial book and its sustainability? - The off-balance sheet growth was higher than expected, driven by the oil and gas sector in Argentina. The company anticipates continued growth in letters of credit, supported by a robust pipeline [40][45] Question: Can you elaborate on the impact of high volatility on spreads and potential upside risks to NIM guidance? - The company has maintained lending margins above December 2024 levels despite competitive pricing. Active balance sheet management and a strong pipeline are expected to benefit margins moving forward [56][62] Question: Why did the letters of credit business show a decrease in fee income despite growth in the balance? - The increase in balance occurred towards the end of the quarter, with income benefits expected to reflect more in the second quarter. The dynamics of commitments and letters of credit are expected to normalize [58][60]

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Sean Kensil - Director of Investor RelationsDavid Finkelstein - CEO & Co-Chief Investment OfficerSerena Wolfe - CFOBose George - Managing DirectorV.S. Srinivasan - Head of AgencyEric Hagen - Managing DirectorMike Fania - Co-Chief Investment Officer & Head of Residential CreditJason Weaver - Managing Director - Equity ResearchTrevor Cranston - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Doug Harter - Equity ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated AFFO per share of $1.17 for the first quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.6% [21] - The AFFO guidance range remains reaffirmed at $4.82 to $4.92 per share, with expectations for growth above the 3.6% implied in the guidance [21][30] - Operating property NOI totaled $16.6 million, with expectations of generating between $70 million and $75 million of operating NOI during 2025, excluding expected dispositions [26][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed approximately $450 million in investments year-to-date, with an initial weighted average cap rate of 7.4% [7] - Contractual same-store rent growth for the quarter was 2.4% year-over-year, with comprehensive same-store growth at 4.5% [22] - Leasing activity included 16 renewals or extensions, representing 1.8% of portfolio ABR, recapturing 103% of prior rents [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The investment pipeline is expected to be approximately $570 million for 2025, with a solid near-term pipeline [8] - The market for net lease real estate remains stable, with minimal disruption in transaction activity despite broader economic uncertainties [8][10] - The company anticipates that sale leaseback transactions will continue to increase, providing attractive capital sources during market volatility [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on executing its investment plan for 2025, with good visibility into additional deals closing soon [5] - The strategy includes funding investments primarily through non-core asset sales, with expectations to generate at least 100 basis points of spread between asset sales and new investments [12][14] - The company is positioned to benefit from potential tightening of mortgage lending criteria, enhancing its competitive advantage in new investments [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding the operating environment, noting that uncertainty from tariffs has not yet impacted business performance [5][6] - The company believes its portfolio is resilient to economic downturns, focusing on large tenants with strong liquidity [15] - Management remains comfortable with the assumptions in their guidance and sees potential for growth in AFFO as visibility improves [18][31] Other Important Information - The company refinanced its euro term loan, fixing the interest rate below 3% through an interest rate swap, with minimal near-term debt maturities [11][29] - The dividend declared was $0.89 per share, representing a 2.9% increase over the prior year, with an expected annual payout ratio of 73% [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide details on cap rates and the split between retail, industrial, and US/Europe? - The company targets cap rates in the mid-sevens, with a pipeline that is approximately 50% weighted towards Europe [36][38] Question: Will you consider selling more self-storage assets to fund acquisitions? - The company has flexibility in its disposition strategy and can consider additional self-storage sales if needed [44][46] Question: How does the company view its European exposure in relation to tariffs? - The majority of European tenants operate domestically, reducing exposure to tariffs, and the company remains confident in its European portfolio [54][56] Question: What is the company's approach to potential rent loss and repositioning capital? - The potential rent loss estimate includes downtime and is considered conservative, with minimal capital expenditures expected for repositioning [62][65] Question: What is the outlook for occupancy and known vacates in the next 18 months? - The overall scale of lease expirations is small, with one warehouse property expected to non-renew, fully embedded in guidance [71][72] Question: How is the company managing input costs for capital projects? - Most capital investments are subject to guaranteed contracts, with large buffers built in to manage cost exposure [77] Question: How competitive is the net lease market in the US and Europe? - The US market remains competitive with new entrants, while Europe is less competitive, providing the company with an advantage as an all-cash buyer [80][81] Question: How has inflation impacted lease negotiations? - The company has been able to push through higher fixed increases in leases, particularly in Europe, while CPI-linked increases have become more challenging in the US [86][88]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1, the company earned $0.18 per share compared to $0.07 in Q4 [5] - Book value at March 31 was $7.94 per share compared to $8.09 at December 31 [5] - Total return for the quarter was 2.6% unannualized compared to 0.6% for Q4 [5] - Liquidity at March 31 was 52.2% compared to 52.9% at December 31 [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average portfolio was just under $6 billion compared to $5.3 billion in Q4 [6] - The leverage ratio at March 31 was 7.8 compared to 7.3 at December 31 [6] - Prepayment speeds were 7.8% in Q1 compared to 10.5% for Q4 [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market moved to price in three or more Fed cuts by the end of the year [11] - Swap spreads moved meaningfully negative late in the quarter and into April [14] - The spread of the current coupon mortgage to the ten-year has widened significantly [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company raised capital during the quarter and deployed it into higher coupon, shorter duration assets [24] - The strategy includes using longer duration hedges to mitigate exposure to declining swap spreads [24] - The company is focused on maintaining liquidity and is prepared to raise capital if necessary [76] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed uncertainty due to market volatility driven by tariffs and inflation [55] - The expectation is for slower growth and potential Fed eases, which could lead to a steeper yield curve [58] - The company is positioned with a skew towards higher coupon, shorter duration assets, which should work well in the current environment [59] Other Important Information - The company declared and paid dividends of $0.36 per share for each quarter [5] - The management acknowledged a mistake in the initial earnings release regarding the breakdown of earnings per share [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the duration gap at the end of the quarter and to date? - The duration gap is very narrow, with a DV01 basis of $13, remaining about the same as of now [62][63] Question: Where do you see gross ROE sitting today? - The gross ROE is estimated to be around 20%, with high volatility in swaps [73] Question: How are you looking at dividend issuance and buybacks? - The company is cautious about buybacks due to stock trading close to book value and may consider raising capital for liquidity [76][78] Question: Will the 2025 dividend be 100% taxable income? - It is uncertain at this point, but the taxable income has been right on top of the distribution year to date [91][93] Question: Thoughts on the Rocket Mortgage and Nationstar deal? - The deal may increase prepayment speeds and impact the convexity of the mortgage universe negatively [99][100]