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The 3% World: The Bond Market Tells What The FED Won't Say (But Markets Don't Care)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-15 12:30
Group 1 - The current economic environment features inflation, unemployment rates, Treasury yields, and interest rates at levels different from historical norms, suggesting a potential long-tail effect from the pandemic [1] - The focus is on U.S. and European equities, particularly undervalued growth stocks and high-quality dividend growers, indicating a strategic investment approach [1] - Sustained profitability, characterized by strong margins, stable and expanding free cash flow, and high returns on invested capital, is emphasized as a more reliable driver of returns than valuation alone [1] Group 2 - The investment strategy includes managing a portfolio publicly on eToro, where the individual has achieved the status of a Popular Investor, allowing others to replicate real-time investment decisions [1] - The interdisciplinary background in Economics, Classical Philology, Philosophy, and Theology enhances both quantitative analysis and the interpretation of market narratives [1] - The investment philosophy aims to balance asset accumulation with the freedom to choose work that aligns with personal expression, rather than solely seeking financial independence [1]
Stocks drive treasury yield moves
Youtube· 2025-11-14 20:02
So Rick Santelli joins us now from Chicago with the bond report and an education for me here too. Hi Rick. >> Hi indeed Courtney.You know we've had a lot of volatility this week in Treasury yields but I like my analogy about the roller coaster. You could have a lot of loop loops but you kind of get off right about where you get on. That's kind of like the Treasury market this week.A lot of volatility. But right now if we were to close a 10-year at 414 it'll be up only four basis points on the week. a two-ye ...
Stocks drive treasury yield moves
CNBC Television· 2025-11-14 20:02
So Rick Santelli joins us now from Chicago with the bond report and an education for me here too. Hi Rick. >> Hi indeed Courtney.You know we've had a lot of volatility this week in Treasury yields but I like my analogy about the roller coaster. You could have a lot of loop loops but you kind of get off right about where you get on. That's kind of like the Treasury market this week.A lot of volatility. But right now if we were to close a 10-year at 414 it'll be up only four basis points on the week. a two-ye ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-10 07:14
Treasury yields rose across the curve after the US Senate advanced a plan to end the longest government shutdown in history https://t.co/LjzRxbXR9K ...
Ways Trump Can Control Mortgage Rates
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-09 14:55
Group 1 - President Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, including attempts to influence Fed chair Jerome Powell and other governors [1] - The Federal Reserve controls the federal funds rate, which influences short-term lending rates, but does not directly control mortgage rates, which are more closely tied to Treasury yields [2] - Reduced independence of the Fed could lead to increased Treasury yields as market trust diminishes, resulting in higher inflation expectations [3] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve can influence Treasury bond demand by purchasing them, which can lower yields and subsequently mortgage rates [4] - Increasing demand for mortgage-backed securities (MBS) through Fed actions can also lead to lower mortgage rates in the private market [5] - Slowing the runoff of existing MBS can decrease supply and spreads, resulting in lower mortgage rates for consumers [6] Group 3 - The idea of privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could increase mortgage rates due to perceived higher risks, but a more strategic approach could be taken to lower rates [7]
U.S. Treasury yields fall after weak Challenger jobs data
CNBC Television· 2025-11-06 19:45
Rick Santelli's in Chicago. He is following the bond market and the news. Rick, >> well, I'll tell you what, you just nailed all the important variables.Let's start out with Challenger Gray and Christmas. Consider it's layoff announcements. First of all, will they actually happen.Maybe. But they are the announcements. And if you wanted to make today's number look as bad as possible, here's how you'd say it.The worst October in 22 years. If you wanted to reflect more accurate way to view today's number, well ...
Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Inch Up; Gold Rises
WSJ· 2025-11-03 08:38
Core Insights - Treasury yields have weakened, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards safer assets [1] - Oil prices have seen a slight increase, reflecting ongoing supply concerns and geopolitical tensions [1] Treasury Yields - The decline in Treasury yields suggests a growing demand for government bonds, which may be driven by economic uncertainty [1] - Lower yields typically indicate that investors are seeking safety, potentially impacting equity markets [1] Oil Prices - Oil prices have inched higher, with recent trading showing a rise of approximately 1% [1] - Factors contributing to the increase include supply chain disruptions and geopolitical issues affecting oil-producing regions [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-31 17:44
Market Trends - Treasury yields increased this week as traders reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1] - Hawkish signals from Chair Jerome Powell contributed to the shift in expectations [1] - Signs of resilience in the US economy also played a role in the adjustment of rate cut expectations [1]
We're in a range bound environment when it comes to yields, says JPMorgan's Kelsey Berro
CNBC Television· 2025-10-31 11:16
Take a look at Treasury yields right now. Look at the 10-year. Look at the 10-year. 4.1%, the 2-year, 3.6%.People are not totally rattled. Uh, joining us right now, uh, Kelsey Burrow, fixed income portfolio manager at JP Morgan Asset Management. Are you surprised, by the way, that the bond market has not been more rattled by just everything.>> I'm not too surprised. You know, I think that we I there's been a fair bit of data even though there's been a lack of official data with the government shut down. Um ...
Why Treasury yields keep rising despite Fed rate cuts, putting bonds under pressure
MarketWatch· 2025-10-30 19:55
Core Viewpoint - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's actions have led to an increase in Treasury yields, negatively impacting bond performance [1] Group 1: Impact on Treasury Yields - The increase in Treasury yields is attributed to comments made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell [1] - This rise in yields has caused a decline in bond prices, indicating a challenging environment for fixed-income investments [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Investors are reacting to the signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate policies, which are influencing market dynamics [1] - The bond market is experiencing volatility as a result of these changes, reflecting broader economic concerns [1]