新华社北京7月9日电 题：CPI同比由降转升 部分行业价格呈企稳回升态势——透视6月份物价数据 新华社记者潘洁、王雨萧 国家统计局9日发布数据显示，6月份，居民消费价格指数（CPI）同比由降转升，扣除食品和能源价格 的核心CPI同比继续回升；工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）虽环比降幅与上月相同，但部分行业价格呈 企稳回升态势，供需结构总体有所改善。 "6月份，以伊冲突导致原油潜在供应风险上升，削弱了主要产油国增产带来的影响，加之进入夏季后， 油品上下游消费随着季节性因素恢复，战略储备采购带来非常规需求增长，国际油价触底回升，推动国 内汽油价格环比上涨。"中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬说。 食品价格方面，受高温、降雨较常年同期偏多等因素影响，6月份，食品价格环比下降0.4%，降幅低于 季节性水平0.5个百分点，其中淡水鱼和鲜菜价格分别环比上涨4.3%和0.7%；同比下降0.3%，降幅比上 月收窄0.1个百分点。 随着促消费政策效应持续显现，6月份，文娱耐用消费品、家用纺织品和家用器具价格同比分别上涨 2.0%、2.0%和1.0%；汽车价格降幅逐步收窄，燃油小汽车和新能源小汽车价格同比分别下降3.4%和 2.5%， ...

以下文章来源于财联社 ，作者潇湘 财联社 . 财联社是上海报业集团主管主办，定位资本市场报道财经通讯社，以"准确、快速、权威、专业"为准 则，提供7x24小时金融信息服务。 来源|财联社 美元刚刚经历了自20世纪70年代初以来最糟糕的上半年表现。而不少业内人士表示，下半年美元的 前景可能也好不到哪里去…… 在2025年的前六个月，ICE美元指数累计下跌了近11%，这是自1973年尼克松时代以来该指数在 历年上半年的最大跌幅。 而1973年也正是布雷顿森林体系最终彻底崩溃的一年，西方国家在当时 放弃了固定汇率制，转而实行浮动汇率制。 对此， 杰富瑞集团全球外汇主管Brad Bechtel表示，"我认为美元的整体趋势仍将走低。" Bechtel和其他一些业内人士盘点了美元目前面临的三大利空。 01 外汇对冲需求 在2008年金融危机之后，美国股市飙升，轻松跑赢了大多数全球股指。这也推动了世界各地的投资 者将资金投入美国市场，并由此积累了巨大的美元风险敞口。 通常，这些以本国货币计算回报但投资于以其他货币计价资产的投资者，会使用远期等衍生品合约 来对冲货币风险。多年来，随着美国股市和美元持续攀升，持有美股和美债的外 ...

7月9日，2025年暑期档进程已过三分之一余之际，最新一份中国电影观众满意度调查新鲜出炉。结果显示，6月下旬以来主调查的重点国产影片满 意度都超过83分，辐射调查的优质外片也以高满意度带动大众观影热情高涨。在丰富多元且创作优质的内容供给支撑下，电影市场发展稳健向 好。 《F1：狂飙飞车》电影剧照 本次调查由中国电影艺术研究中心联合艺恩进行，是一套独立于票房、售票及社交网站之外的电影综合评价体系。调查样本分为普通观众、专业 观众两个群体，覆盖全国一二三四线城市。 观影需求分众化趋势凸显 《酱园弄·悬案》《无名之辈：否极泰来》《恶意》三部影片内容题材差异化明显，但都以相对较优的创作水平获得了观众的"满意"评价。其中聚 焦网络暴力、探讨人性善恶的《恶意》满意度相对较高，为84.1分；将民国"奇案"与时代命题相结合的《酱园弄·悬案》满意度为83.8分，关照底 层小人物的《无名之辈：否极泰来》满意度为83.4分。 调查报告截图 调查发现用户和观影需求分众化趋势日益凸显，近两年暑期档影片在不同类型观众中的评价差异化特征也愈发显著。这三部主调查影片在普通观 众、专业观众中的满意度评价排序全然不同，其中普通观众对剧情层层反转 ...

值得注意的是，由于调价突然，行业咨询机构InfoLink今日下午更新的价格信息并未体现出本 次报价变动，该机构数据显示，本周部分尺寸硅片成交均价仍有1%左右降幅。 据 证券时报报道， 市场消息显示， 今日，多家硅片企业上调了硅片报价，不同尺寸的硅片价 格涨幅在8%—11.7%。 对此，多家硅片厂商人士向记者证实，在9日下午上调了硅片报价， 而且是一线及二三线企业普遍上调。 另据中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会今日发布的数据，本周硅料成交均价普遍环比上涨逾 6%。 业内人士反馈，本次硅片报价上调的主要原因是上游硅料涨价引发的传导效应；但是，由于国 内光伏市场终端需求增速放缓，下游电池环节能否接受本次硅片提价还有待观察。 ...

Core Insights - The Shanghai real estate market showed a continued recovery in the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in the high-end residential and land markets, following the implementation of various policies such as "Hu Jiu Tiao" and "Hu Qi Tiao" [1][2] Group 1: Housing Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, Shanghai's total housing transactions reached 13.11 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 17%, marking the highest level for the same period since 2022 [1] - The new housing market saw 3.26 million square meters sold, remaining stable year-on-year, while the second-hand housing market recorded 9.85 million square meters (116,000 units), a 24% increase year-on-year [1] - High-end residential projects performed exceptionally well, with 1,096 units sold at prices of 30 million yuan and above, totaling 55.3 billion yuan in transaction value [1] Group 2: Land Market Dynamics - The land market in Shanghai saw a total transaction area of 2.15 million square meters in the first half of 2025, a 13% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [2] - The total land transfer revenue reached 67 billion yuan, reflecting a 51% increase year-on-year, indicating a rise in both supply and demand for high-quality land [2] - The increase in land supply and prices suggests a significant rise in the availability of premium plots, supporting the construction of high-quality housing [2] Group 3: Market Outlook - The positive performance of the Shanghai real estate market indicates the effective release of various purchasing policies and strong buyer demand [2] - Experts believe that the current purchasing policies are the best in history, and the supply-demand relationship has undergone effective adjustments, which will further promote market development in the second half of the year [2]

成本支撑与弱需求预期博弈，聚酯弱驱动延续 通惠期货研发部 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 liyingjie@thqh.com.cn www.thqh.com.cn 一、日度市场总结 1. PTA&PX 07月08日，PX 主力合约收6696.0元/吨，较前一交易日收涨0.18%，基差为 29.0元/吨。PTA 主力合约收4710.0元/吨，与前一交易日持平，基差为 90.0元/吨。 成本端，07月08日，布油主力合约收盘69.6美元/桶。WTI收67.92美元/ 桶。需求端，07月08日，轻纺城成交总量为537.0万米，15 日平均成交为 644.2万米。 PX：威联化学100万吨装置于6月26日检修，预计检修40天左右，供应量小 幅缩减。韩国Lotte化学2号50万吨装置6月中旬重启，韩华化学2号装置计 划8月中旬检修2个月。国际原油价格处于低位存在反弹预期，PX供需紧平 衡。 PTA：成本端受PX上涨预期支撑，东营威联2520万吨产能6月28日开始检 修，逸盛新材料360万吨装置6月30日提付运行，逸盛海南210万吨装置7月1 日降负运行。 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of learning from Japan's consumer market experiences, particularly during economic downturns, to identify growth opportunities in the Chinese market [8][24][27] - It highlights a three-day immersive course aimed at entrepreneurs and industry leaders to explore strategies for resilience and growth in the current economic climate [5][17][24] Group 1: Course Overview - The course will feature over 100 successful consumer entrepreneurs, including industry disruptors and founders of listed companies, providing a rich networking opportunity [10][11] - It aims to dissect the methodologies of Japanese consumer giants, focusing on efficiency, demand reconstruction, and capital strategies [5][24][27] Group 2: Economic Context - The Chinese consumer market is facing significant challenges, with financing in the sector reverting to 2016 levels and 68% of new consumer brands hitting growth bottlenecks [26][24] - In contrast, Japanese companies like Sally's have shown resilience, with a 23% increase in store numbers and a 105.8% profit increase during economic downturns [24][27] Group 3: Learning from Japan - The course will cover key lessons from Japan's "lost 30 years," demonstrating how brands can thrive in low-growth environments [8][24] - Specific strategies include "subtracting management" to reduce costs without compromising quality and understanding consumer insights for product development [29][31][32] Group 4: Target Audience - The course is designed for consumer company founders/CEOs looking to break through growth ceilings and for supply chain and brand operators aiming to optimize cost structures [36]

Core Viewpoint - The event "Enjoying Self-creation" 2025 Star Enjoy User Night showcased the launch of a new car logo by Huawei and BAIC Group, emphasizing the brand's commitment to user engagement and high-quality manufacturing [1][9]. Group 1: New Logo and Design - The new logo features a hexagonal design that continues the family lineage of Harmony Intelligent Driving, incorporating a silver ratio and G3 curvature to enhance visual rhythm [3]. - The logo's dual-layer design symbolizes a romantic connection with users, with the upper layer representing star-like radiance and the lower layer showcasing intricate micro-level electroforming craftsmanship [3]. Group 2: Sales Performance - In June, the Enjoy S9 model achieved impressive sales, delivering 4,154 units in a single month, securing the top position in the sales of new energy sedans above 300,000 units [5]. Group 3: Super Factory Experience - The Enjoy Super Factory in Beijing has become a popular destination for users, allowing them to witness the production process firsthand, which enhances trust in the brand [5]. - The factory integrates digital flexible production lines, AI quality inspection, and ADS intelligent driving calibration, showcasing advanced manufacturing capabilities [5]. Group 4: User-Centric Approach - The factory emphasizes transparency in manufacturing processes, fostering a strong connection with users by openly sharing how and for whom the cars are made [7]. - User-selected configurations are quickly translated into precise production instructions, ensuring that each vehicle meets individual preferences [5]. Group 5: Future Product Launch - A new travel vehicle from Enjoy is set to launch in the fall, further expanding the product lineup and demonstrating the brand's dedication to understanding user needs [9]. - The brand's journey towards high-end manufacturing is rooted in deep insights into user demands and a relentless pursuit of product quality [9].

2025 年 7 月 9 日 银河能化-20250709 早报 【银河期货】原油期货早报（25-07-09） 【市场回顾】 原油结算价：WTI2508 合约 68.33 涨 0.40 美元/桶，环比+0.59%；Brent2509 合约 70.15 涨 0.57 美元/桶，环比+0.82%。SC 主力合约 2508 涨 8.6 至 509.9 元/桶，夜盘涨 6.4 至 516.3 元/桶。Brent 主力-次行价差 1.17 美金/桶。 【相关资讯】 美国总统特朗普周二进一步扩大全球贸易战，宣布对进口铜征收 50%关税，并表示长期以 来威胁要征收的半导体和药品关税即将出台。他还表示，与欧盟和中国的贸易谈判进展良 好，但称"很可能"在两天内告诉欧盟对美出口的预期税率。 特朗普对 14 个国家宣布将对它们加征关税后，日本和韩国表示，他们将尝试与美国进行 谈判，以减轻特朗普总统计划从 8 月初开始实施的大幅提高关税的影响。美国白宫经济顾 问委员会主席米兰表示，他乐观地认为本周末之前可以达成更多贸易协议。 EIA 将今年的全球石油日产量增长预测从日增 160 万桶上调至 180 万桶，并将 2026 年的增 长预测 ...

| | PX&PTA&PR | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/9 | 品种 | 更新日期 | 单位 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌(幅) | | | 期货结算价(连续):WTI原油 | 2025/7/8 | 美元/桶 | 68.33 | 67.93 | 0.59% | | 上 | 期货结算价(连续):布伦特原油 | 2025/7/8 | 美元/桶 | 70.15 | 69.58 | 0.82% | | 游 | 现货价(中间价):石脑油:CFR日本 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 577.00 | 578.75 | -0.30% | | | 现货价(中间价):二甲苯(异构级):FOB韩国 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 715.50 | 716.50 | -0.14% | | | 现货价:对二甲苯PX:CFR中国主港 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 841.67 | 839.67 | 0.24% | | | CZCE TA 主力合约 收盘价 | 2025/7/8 | 元/吨 | 4710.00 ...