早盘开盘，国内期货主力合约涨多跌少，多晶硅、氧化铝涨超4%，集运欧线涨超3%，低硫燃料油 （LU）、PX涨超2%。跌幅方面，沪金跌近2%，螺纹、焦煤、热卷跌超1%。 ...

Group 1 - The main contract for Shanghai gold closed up by 0.07%, reaching 803 CNY per gram [1] - The main contract for Shanghai silver closed down by 1.15%, settling at 8146 CNY per kilogram [1] - The main contract for SC crude oil closed down by 1.52%, priced at 459 CNY per barrel [1]

黑色商品日报 黑色商品日报（2025 年 5 月 7 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 钢材 | 螺纹钢：节后首个工作日螺纹盘面高开低走，震荡收跌，截止日盘螺纹 2510 合约收盘价格为 3077 元/吨， | 低位整理 | | | 较上一交易收盘价格下跌 19 元/吨，跌幅为 0.61%，持仓增加 9.25 万手。现货价格稳中有跌，成交回落， | | | | 唐山地区迁安普方坯价格下跌 20 元/吨至 2940 元/吨，杭州市场中天螺纹价格持平于 3180 元/吨，全国建 | | | | 材成交量 10.73 万吨。近日公布的 4 月财新中国制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）录得 50.4，低于上月 0.8 个 | | | | 百分点，为三个月来最低；财新中国服务业 PMI 也回落 1.2 个百分点至 50.7，为 2024 年四季度以来最低。 | | | | 两大行业景气均下降，当月财新中国综合 PMI 下降 0.7 个百分点，录得 51.1。近期螺纹现货供需有所改 | | | | 善，但在后期钢材出口面临较大挑战的局面下，市场预期普遍较为谨慎。 ...

早盘开盘，国内期货主力合约涨多跌少，沥青、SC原油、PX、铁矿、乙二醇（EG）、低硫燃料油 （LU）、PTA涨超2%。跌幅方面，苹果跌近1%。 ...

欧盟官员：欧盟将在年底前禁止与俄罗斯签订天然气现货合约。即期天然气合约定义为一年以下。 ...

1. RWA与智能合约的关系 RWA（Real World Assets，现实世界资产）与智能合约和代币之间的关系可以从技术实现、功能作用和实际应用三个层面来分析。这三者的结合是RWA落地 的重要基础，也是实现其价值的关键。 智能合约在RWA的实现过程中扮演了核心角色，主要体现在以下几个方面： (1) 资产数字化与代币化的核心技术 · 智能合约是区块链上的自动化程序，能够按照预设规则自动执行操作。通过智能合约，现实世界资产可以被映射到区块链上，并生成对应的数字资产（代 币）。 · 例如，将房地产、应收账款等资产的所有权或收益权通过智能合约进行数字化处理，并根据规则生成标准化代币。 (2) 自动化管理与操作 · 智能合约可以实现对RWA的自动化管理，包括交易、收益分配、清算等操作。 · 举例： 如果某RWA代币代表一个租赁物业，智能合约可以自动收取租金，并将收益分配给代币持有者。 在供应链金融中，智能合约可以自动追踪应收账款的支付状态，并确保资产的真实性。 (3) 透明性与信任 · 智能合约的规则和执行过程是透明且不可篡改的，这在RWA中尤为重要，因为它能够解决传统金融中资产管理和交易中的信任问题。 · 例如， ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin price surpassed $75,000, marking the largest single-day increase in Q3 2025, driven by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's pause on interest rate hikes [1] - The approval of the first Bitcoin futures ETF with a physical delivery mechanism by the SEC has attracted institutional investors, enhancing compliance and risk management [3] - The XBIT decentralized exchange platform has seen a significant increase in trading volume due to its new "zero-latency cross-chain exchange" feature, with a 237% surge in transaction volume [1][3] Market Dynamics - Southeast Asia has emerged as a key market, with Thailand's Ministry of Finance reporting an 890% year-on-year increase in THB/BTC trading volume via XBIT [3] - The Salvadoran government increased its Bitcoin reserves by $120 million through XBIT, utilizing the platform's multi-signature cold wallet solution [3] - In Europe, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange saw a narrowing of BTC futures premium to 1.2%, while off-exchange trading continued to gain traction [3] Technological Innovations - XBIT launched a "smart hedging protocol" that uses machine learning to match optimal derivative combinations for BTC holders, successfully avoiding potential losses of over $47 million for 83,000 users during market volatility [5] - The platform's alert system triggers protective measures 1.8 seconds faster than centralized platforms when market volatility exceeds a certain threshold [5] - XBIT has processed $12 billion in BTC-related derivative transactions, showcasing its robust trading infrastructure [5]

Group 1 - The June natural gas futures have become the main contract on the NYMEX, with a closing price of $3.343 per MMBtu, up 22.9 cents from the previous day [3] - The May contract settled at $3.170, marking the end of a month-long low in the natural gas market, which is now showing signs of recovery [3] - Despite the short-term weak fundamentals, the recent price increase may push prices towards $3.50 per MMBtu, although there are concerns about potential downward pressure if the rebound continues [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicates that the market has been digesting the weak fundamentals typical of the off-season, with a significant drop of $1.60 per MMBtu (34%) over the past seven weeks [3] - The report also highlights that the May contract dominated recent trading, with technical support being tested around $2.86 per MMBtu [4] - Weather-driven demand for natural gas is rapidly declining, and production from the Permian Basin is expected to rebound, leading to potential inventory injection pressures in the coming weeks [4] Group 3 - BMI has raised its long-term price forecast for Henry Hub natural gas, predicting an average price of $3.40 per MMBtu in 2025 and $3.80 per MMBtu in 2026 [6] - The EIA has also adjusted its short-term energy outlook, increasing the average price forecast for Henry Hub to $4.27 per MMBtu in 2025 and $4.60 per MMBtu in 2026 [7]

友邦保险集团首席执行官兼总裁李源祥表示： "我们经验丰富的管理团队致力构建长远、可持续的优质业务，并继续专注于执行我们的策略性优先任 务，让集团能够在环球资本市场波动的环境下取得佳绩，并把握亚洲这个全球最具吸引力的人寿及健康 保险市场的强劲基本增长动力。本人深信，友邦保险凭借雄厚的竞争优势，将继续为所有持份者缔造长 远、可持续的价值。" "友邦保险建基于2024年的卓越业绩，在2025年第一季保持增长势头，录得15亿美元的新业务价值，较 去年创新高的季度表现上升13%。我们能够持续及有规模地把握盈利性的新业务机遇，实有赖集团高度 多元化及强韧的业务模式，以及市场对友邦保险产品和服务与日俱增的需求。" "友邦保险的『最优秀代理』是我们增长策略的关键支柱，在2025年第一季所带来的新业务价值，占集 团整体超过75%。我们透过强劲和高质素的招聘持续提升我们的市场覆盖，支持整体活跃代理人数增长 8%。我们别树一帜的代理模式专注于建立长期客户关系，并由领先的数码平台所驱动，使得代理活跃 度及生产力进一步提升，同时保持多元化及具韧性的产品组合。" 友邦保险(01299)发布公告，于2025年第一季度，增长率按固定汇率基准 ...

Group 1: Core Views - The central viewpoint emphasizes the need for strengthening credit construction in the platform economy, integrating legal regulation and intelligent supervision to ensure regular oversight [1][7] Group 2: Issues in the Live Streaming Industry - The rapid development of the live streaming industry has led to issues such as false advertising, product quality concerns, and tax evasion, which undermine consumer trust and fair competition [2][3] - The "Opinions" document highlights the importance of enhancing credit regulation for network anchors, self-media, and multi-channel network (MCN) institutions [2][3] Group 3: Credit Management Mechanisms - Establishing a unified credit management system is crucial, allowing for the assessment and public disclosure of credit statuses for anchors and merchants, thereby promoting integrity and reducing dishonest behavior [3][4] - Platforms can utilize big data and algorithmic analysis to create a dynamic credit scoring system, categorizing merchants into different risk levels (A, B, C) based on their historical performance [3][4] Group 4: Incentives and Penalties - The implementation of differentiated management and services based on credit status is proposed, offering incentives for compliant businesses while imposing restrictions on those with poor credit [3][4] - For high-credit (A-level) merchants, platforms can provide benefits such as increased visibility and reduced advertising costs, while low-credit (C-level) merchants may face penalties like reduced search rankings and advertising limitations [4][8] Group 5: Information Sharing and Data Barriers - The "Opinions" call for breaking down data barriers between platforms to facilitate the sharing of public credit information and operational data, addressing the challenges posed by inconsistent data standards and administrative divisions [5][6] - A unified credit data standard is necessary to ensure efficient data exchange among platforms, which can be coordinated by national regulatory bodies [5][6] Group 6: Joint Accountability Mechanisms - The establishment of a joint accountability mechanism is essential to prevent businesses from evading penalties by switching platforms, requiring a unified credit database accessible across platforms [7][8] - Platforms must ensure that businesses fulfill all legal obligations before exiting, promoting effective exit processes while allowing for credit restoration opportunities [8] Group 7: Regulatory Approaches - A balanced approach between government regulation and industry self-discipline is necessary, incorporating entry mechanisms, daily oversight, and self-regulation to enhance regulatory efficiency [9][10] - Platforms should implement real-time monitoring using big data and AI to detect and address fraudulent activities promptly, ensuring that dishonest entities cannot re-enter the market easily [9][10] Group 8: Industry Self-Regulation - Industry self-regulation is vital for the long-term operation of the credit system, with platforms and industry associations encouraged to sign credit agreements and establish industry credit scoring standards [10]