铜箔板块更新和标的推荐 20250708 摘要 受益于电动重卡、商用车、储能及欧洲新能源车需求回暖，产业链排产 环比增长验证终端需求。美国《大而美法案》细则或致 2025 年下半年 出现抢装，主链贝塔修复可期，关注中报业绩较强的电池、材料及零部 件公司。 固态电池领域，下半年催化因素多，关注干法电极设备商如宏工纳克， 以及联赢激光等。材料环节关注硫化锂和集流体方向，如天赐材料、华 盛锂电在硫化锂降本量产上的进展。 AI 和固态双轮驱动铜箔板块，高端铜箔受益于 AI 需求拉动，高端 PCB 景气度超预期。AI 服务器及交换机升级推动铜箔产品升级，对铜箔的表 面光滑度提出更高要求，看好 AI 高端铜箔国产化率提升。 德福收购卢森堡电子路铜箔有限公司 CFL，增强其在高端电子路用铜领 域竞争力，CFL 拥有 1.68 万吨电子路用铜箔产能，其中 RTF 和 HVLP 铜占比七八成，还有 700 万平载体铜产能，有望推动其在全球市场份额 提升。 Q&A 今年下半年锂电板块的整体策略是什么？ 当前我们非常看好锂电板块的贝塔加阿尔法机会。从贝塔来看，此前受到国补 退坡和 136 号文取消新能源强配的影响，市场对三季度国内 ...

上半年"保险版ABS"登记规模超1800亿元 同比增长46% 今年上半年，共有13家保险资管机构登记了38只资产支持计划，登记规模合计达1800.96亿元，登记数 量和规模均同比增长，其中登记规模同比增长46%。受访专家表示，资产支持计划现金流稳定、期限 长、风险较权益类资产相对更低，符合险资的投资需求，因此受到保险资管机构的青睐。未来，保险资 管机构资产支持计划的登记规模有望进一步增加。（证券日报） 经营贷利率跌穿3% 银行息差压力料持续 近期，建设银行、招商银行等多家银行推出的经营贷产品最低年利率降至3%，若叠加银行发放的利率 优惠券，有些产品的利率已是"2"字头。只不过，由于客户资质存在差异，不同借款人申请下来的利率 与额度有所不同。信贷投放难是当下银行业普遍面临的问题。业内人士认为，银行的净息差压力、盈利 压力在未来一段时间将持续存在，其应在精细化管理、结构优化、综合服务等方面寻求突破。 (中证报) 年内A股公司意向收购拟IPO企业数量大增 科技型企业受追捧 今年以来，A股公司披露收购拟IPO企业计划的数量大幅增加，27家公司披露了相关计划，较去年同期 的6家大幅增加。市场人士认为，这主要得益于"并购 ...

中国基金报记者 李智 一起来看下日韩股市的最新市场情况及资讯。 7月9日早间，日韩股市高开，日本股市盘中震荡下探，截至发稿，日经225指数跌0.02%。 个股方面，住友制药涨超8%，欧姆龙、胜高、卡西欧等涨超5%；而富士通、任天堂、三菱 重工等跌幅居前。 【导读】日韩股市涨跌不一，日经225指数震荡下探 韩国KOSPI指数上涨0.29%，至3124.07点。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅÷ | 总市值 三 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 住友制药 | 987.0 | 8.82% | 3927亿 | | 4506.T | | | | | 欧姆龙 | 4048.0 | 6.86% | 8349亿 | | 6645.T | | | | | 胜高 | 1180.5 | 5.54% | 4134亿 | | 3436.T | | | | | 卡西欧 | 1161.5 | 5.50% | 2761亿 | | 6952.T | | | | | 瑞萨电子 | 1983.0 | 4.15% | 37094亿 | | 6723.T | | | | | 日产化学 | 4431.0 | 4.09% | 6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ACMI2025 forum highlighted the advancements in solid-state battery technology, emphasizing its high energy density and safety, which cater to specific needs in various sectors such as automotive, low-altitude, and humanoid robots [1] Group 1: Solid-State Battery Development - Solid-state batteries are expected to gradually find applications across multiple fields as their overall performance improves and industrialization accelerates [1] - Half-solid-state batteries have already been implemented in vehicles, indicating a faster industrialization process compared to full solid-state batteries [1] - Full solid-state batteries are projected to begin small-scale deployment in 2027, with mass application in energy storage expected post-2030 [1] Group 2: Market and Policy Dynamics - Domestic policies are actively promoting the industrialization of solid-state batteries, with many companies aiming for small-scale production or vehicle deployment by 2027-2028 [1] - Overseas automakers and battery manufacturers are accelerating their efforts in solid-state battery development to gain a competitive edge [1] Group 3: Application Areas - The application of solid-state batteries is anticipated to expand in cost-sensitive areas such as humanoid robots and low-altitude sectors before automotive applications [1] - The unique advantages of full solid-state batteries, such as high energy density and safety, differentiate them from liquid batteries [1]

Group 1 - Southern Tianchen recently conducted research on Tian Tie Technology, focusing on its capabilities in manufacturing battery-grade lithium metal and lithium strips [1] - Tian Tie Technology has signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Xinjie Energy to supply lithium metal materials for its first 2GWh solid-state battery production line, with an annual procurement volume of no less than 100 tons over a minimum of five years [1] - Xinjie Energy's products are primarily used in eVTOL, robotics, and 3C products, with future potential in the power battery market [1] Group 2 - The energy density of Xinjie Energy's batteries ranges from 450-550Wh/Kg, with a volume energy density of 1000-1300Wh/L, discharge rates of 4C-10C, and cycle life of 800-1000 times [1] - Tian Tie Technology is actively preparing to ensure supply for Xinjie's first 2GW production line and is closely monitoring downstream research and development in the industry [1] - Xinjie's batteries have successfully passed conventional safety tests, including puncture and extrusion tests [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Yinglian Co., Ltd. (002846.SZ), is experiencing a significant recovery in performance, with a notable increase in stock price following the announcement of its half-year earnings forecast, indicating strong growth in both revenue and net profit [2][3][6]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Yinglian expects revenue between 1.07 billion to 1.13 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.85% to 16.01% [3][4]. - The projected net profit for the same period is between 23 million to 28 million yuan, reflecting a substantial increase of 360.57% to 460.70% compared to the previous year [3][4]. - The company also anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 17.5 million to 22.5 million yuan, marking a growth of 638.58% to 849.61% year-on-year [3]. Business Segments - Yinglian is actively developing its dual business model, focusing on fast-moving consumer goods metal packaging and new energy materials, particularly in the easy-open lid segment [3][4]. - The easy-open lid segment has shown steady revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, benefiting from the company's global development strategy and technological advancements [4][5]. Market Expansion - The company has achieved significant growth in its export business, with overseas sales reaching 671 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 43.62% [10]. - The easy-open lid products have gained a competitive edge in the market, with revenue from canned easy-open lids increasing by 37.49% to 769 million yuan in 2024 [11]. Research and Development - Yinglian continues to invest in R&D, with expenses reaching 60.05 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.96% [9]. - The company has established a joint research institute with a leading manufacturer in the field of composite flow battery technology, focusing on the development of solid-state battery materials [12][13]. Stock Performance - Since 2025, Yinglian's stock price has increased by approximately 100%, reflecting investor confidence in the company's recovery and growth prospects [2][13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the global launch of Jiangsu Tianpeng Power's 350Wh/Kg solid-state cylindrical battery, which is primarily aimed at applications in fields such as embodied robots, low-altitude aircraft, and e-Bikes [1][4]. - The newly released solid-state 60HES battery cell utilizes revolutionary materials and structural designs, featuring a high nickel ternary material (NCMA Ni93) for the positive electrode and a low-expansion silicon-carbon negative electrode (SiC), enabling higher capacity and energy density [2]. - The 21700-60HES cell has a nominal capacity of 6100mAh, supports 1C/3C charge and discharge capabilities, achieves an energy density of 350Wh/Kg, and has a cycle life of over 800 at room temperature, with stable operation in a temperature range of -10℃ to 65℃ [3]. Group 2 - The battery has completed safety verification with leading international clients, receiving high recognition for its performance, and mass production validation is currently underway, expected to be fully completed by the end of this year, transitioning from pilot production to the global market [4]. - Tianpeng Power is also developing the next generation of solid-state batteries, aiming for mass production of batteries with an energy density exceeding 500Wh/kg by 2027, utilizing a composite solid electrolyte compatible with cylindrical cells (sulfide + polymer) [5]. - Tianpeng Power, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Weilan Lithium, focuses on the research, production, and sales of cylindrical batteries, forming a lithium battery technology and product system that includes NCM, NCA, and LFP technologies [6]. Group 3 - Tianpeng Power has four major production bases, with three located in Jiangsu Province and one in Selangor, Malaysia, which plans to invest $280 million to achieve an annual production capacity of 10GWh of cylindrical lithium batteries [6]. - The Malaysian base officially opened on April 29 this year, with an initial total capacity of approximately 400 million cells per year, and stable supply of 18650 and 21700 cell types has been achieved, with plans to produce high-end models such as 5.8Ah and 6.5Ah in the future [6].

报告导读： 海外固态电池研发进程稳步推进，产品性能持续突破。电池厂与车企的合作覆 盖技术授权、产线共建与路测验证，量产时间表锁定 2026-2030 年。 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称：海外固态电池进展积极，产品性能持续突破 报告日期：2025.07.08 报告作者： 徐强 （分析师），登记编号： S 0880517040002 李依雯 ( 研究助理 ) ，登记编号：S 0880125042249 扫码关注 星标不迷路 国泰海通证券研究所官方公众号 海量研报 | 热门活动 | 视听 内容 车企绑定深化合作，示范项目驱动商业化进程。 目前，电池厂与车企的合作覆盖技术授权、产线共建与路 测验证。 Solid Power 电池已搭载宝马 i7 启动实车路试，同时向 SK On 授权技术并共建产能； QuantumScape 与大众旗下 PowerCo 签订量产协议，预计 2026 年启动 QSE-5B1 电池装车测试； Factorial Energy 联合奔驰推进 Solstice 电池路测， 2026 年与 Stellantis 合作开展示范车队验证；三 星 SDI 已向 5 家车 ...

Core Insights - The new energy sector, including lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and wind power, is experiencing significant activity on the STAR Market, with the New Energy ETF (588960) rising by 3.92% and the Lithium Battery ETF (561160) increasing by 2.64% [1] - Major companies in the New Energy ETF, such as Daqo Energy and Trina Solar, have seen substantial gains, with Daqo Energy rising over 10% and Trina Solar increasing more than 6% [1] - The central government is intensifying efforts to regulate disorderly competition, focusing on improving product quality and facilitating the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [1] Industry Developments - A joint notice from the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments emphasizes the scientific planning and construction of high-power charging facilities, aiming for over 100,000 such facilities nationwide by the end of 2027 [1] - The focus will be on local economic development, the promotion of new energy vehicles, and the distribution of electric power resources, with an emphasis on "instant charge and go" scenarios [1] - Analysts indicate that semi-solid-state batteries are beginning to scale up, while solid-state batteries are expected to see small-scale deployment by 2027 and larger applications in energy storage post-2030 [1] ETF Information - The New Energy ETF (588960) closely tracks the STAR Market New Energy Index (000692.SH), with daily price fluctuations potentially reaching 20% [2] - The index comprises 50 large-cap stocks from the solar, wind, and new energy vehicle sectors, reflecting the overall performance of representative companies in the new energy industry on the STAR Market [2]

锂电铜箔：25 年供需改善，固态电池新需求涌现。我们测算23-25 年行业有效产能分别为118、145、 152 万吨，对应全球需求分别为61、83、110 万吨，供需敞口分别为93%、75%、38%，敞口逐年收窄， 且2025 年新增产能较少，行业整体供需关系持续改善。公司积极布局雾化铜箔、微孔铜箔、镀镍铜箔 等固态电池新产品，均已实现批量供货。 盈利预测与投资建议：预计25-27 年归母净利润为1.12/3.12/4.52 亿元，同比增速为 145.8%/177.9%/44.8%。参考可比公司，考虑估值溢价，给予公司26 年归母净利润50x PE，对应合理价 值24.77 元/股。首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 风险提示：新能源汽车销量不及预期；固态电池进展不及预期；国产替代进展不及预期；原材料价格波 动风险。 德福科技：铜箔行业龙头，高端电子电路+固态电池新产品带来发展机遇。公司深耕铜箔领域四十年， 以电子电路铜箔起家，逐步拓展锂电铜箔领域。25Q1，公司实现营收25.01 亿元，同比+110%，归母净 利润0.18 亿元，实现扭亏为盈，经营趋势持续向上。 电子电路铜箔：RTF 和HVLP 铜箔国产替代可 ...